Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
Drive bus or motor coach, including regular route operations, charters, and private carriage. May assist passengers with baggage. May collect fares or tickets.
159,240 people do this job in the US. $59,050 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 11%
- 0%
- 89%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 11%. Today's estimate: 11%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 14 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drive vehicles over specified routes or to specified destinations according to time schedules, complying with traffic regulations to ensure that passengers have a smooth and safe ride.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 63% | 1.3 h38 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Handle passenger emergencies or disruptions.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 25 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 17 min8 min to 38 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Maintain cleanliness of bus or motor coach.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 25 min13 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Report delays or accidents.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 13 min4 min to 38 min | 99%Half by now | |
| Assist passengers, such as elderly or individuals with disabilities, on and off bus, ensure they are seated properly, help carry baggage, and answer questions about bus schedules or routes.Done daily by most who do it. | 3% | 6 min3 min to 13 min | Stays with people | |
| Park vehicles at loading areas so that passengers can board.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 3% | 3 min2 min to 8 min | Stays with people | |
| Inspect vehicles and check gas, oil, and water levels prior to departure.Done daily by most who do it. | 3% | 13 min8 min to 25 min | Stays with people | |
| Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.Done daily by most who do it. | 2% | 4 min2 min to 8 min | Stays with people | |
| Read maps to plan bus routes.Done daily by most who do it. | 2% | 17 min8 min to 33 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Load and unload baggage in baggage compartments.Done daily by most who do it. | 2% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 1% | 2 min1 min to 4 min | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).