State
Texas
14,071,160 people work in Texas, at mean pay of $65,750 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 7.1 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 41%
- 8%
- 51%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 337,170 | 67% | 466 million | $40K |
| Office Clerks, General | 218,470 | 58% | 264 million | $39K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 122,400 | 76% | 195 million | $49K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 135,030 | 69% | 192 million | $62K |
| General and Operations Managers | 431,310 | 19% | 166 million | $103K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 160,600 | 47% | 157 million | $65K |
| Cashiers | 245,730 | 30% | 154 million | $29K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 460,530 | 15% | 146 million | $28K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 78,740 | 87% | 143 million | $43K |
| Retail Salespersons | 341,640 | 20% | 141 million | $31K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 137,930 | 48% | 136 million | $36K |
| Project Management Specialists | 138,960 | 45% | 129 million | $98K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 755 smaller jobs (7,219,770 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers138 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons83 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers77 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives76 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses76 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Contact customers to respond to inquiries or to notify them of claim investigation results or any planned adjustments.Customer Service Representatives73 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives70 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives68 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers62 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel58 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Texas
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX4,049,800 people25% now, 41% by 2028
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX3,289,720 people24% now, 38% by 2028
- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX1,293,690 people25% now, 44% by 2028
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX1,126,880 people25% now, 39% by 2028
- El Paso, TX339,120 people26% now, 38% by 2028
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX296,700 people25% now, 34% by 2028
- North Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area275,670 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Hill Country Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area200,870 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Corpus Christi, TX192,580 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Northwestern Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area189,010 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Lubbock, TX166,780 people25% now, 37% by 2028
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX163,220 people23% now, 36% by 2028
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX157,450 people25% now, 35% by 2028
- Killeen-Temple, TX150,580 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Coastal Plains Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area149,390 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- College Station-Bryan, TX134,040 people23% now, 38% by 2028
- Waco, TX129,860 people25% now, 37% by 2028
- Amarillo, TX123,930 people24% now, 36% by 2028
- Midland, TX122,180 people22% now, 35% by 2028
- Longview, TX118,060 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Tyler, TX115,220 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Eastern Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area114,760 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Laredo, TX109,370 people26% now, 36% by 2028
- Odessa, TX80,910 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Abilene, TX75,070 people26% now, 38% by 2028
- Texarkana, TX-AR57,580 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Wichita Falls, TX55,550 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Sherman-Denison, TX52,690 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- San Angelo, TX49,770 people26% now, 37% by 2028
- Border Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area46,910 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Victoria, TX38,120 people25% now, 35% by 2028
- Eagle Pass, TX18,820 people27% now, 39% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works