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Project Management Specialists

Analyze and coordinate the schedule, timeline, procurement, staffing, and budget of a product or service on a per project basis. Lead and guide the work of technical staff. May serve as a point of contact for the client or customer.

1,066,670 people do this job in the US. $102,320 a year.

now
45%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 85%
  • 15%
  • 0%
n/a

Anthropic's data does not cover this job.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 85% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 33%. Today's estimate: 45%.

0%25%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 8% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 33% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 45% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Communicate with key stakeholders to determine project requirements and objectives.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 17%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Plan, schedule, or coordinate project activities to meet deadlines.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 12%2.5 h1.3 h to 1 work day51%Half by now
Develop or update project plans including information such as objectives, technologies, schedules, funding, and staffing.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.12%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Identify project needs such as resources, staff, or finances by reviewing project objectives and schedules.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%2.5 h50 min to 5 h55%Half by now
Confer with project personnel to identify and resolve problems.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Request and review project updates to ensure deadlines are met.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Schedule or facilitate project meetings.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Produce and distribute project documents.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Prepare and submit budget estimates, progress reports, or cost tracking reports.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h1.3 h to 1.3 work days32%Half by Jan 2027
Create project status presentations for delivery to customers or project personnel.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Assign duties or responsibilities to project personnel.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%50 min17 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Report project status, such as budget, resources, technical issues, or customer satisfaction, to managers.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 h72%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.