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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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General and Operations Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate the operations of public or private sector organizations, overseeing multiple departments or locations. Duties and responsibilities include formulating policies, managing daily operations, and planning the use of materials and human resources, but are too diverse and general in nature to be classified in any one functional area of management or administration, such as personnel, purchasing, or administrative services. Usually manage through subordinate supervisors. Excludes First-Line Supervisors.

3,503,020 people do this job in the US. $105,770 a year.

now
18%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 43%
  • 42%
  • 15%
14%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
November 2026

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 43% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 13%. Today's estimate: 19%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 13% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 19% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 17 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.Done daily by most who do it. 15%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Direct administrative activities directly related to making products or providing services.Done daily by most who do it. 9%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Plan or direct activities, such as sales promotions, that require coordination with other department managers.Done daily by most who do it. 9%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 9%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Perform sales floor work, such as greeting or assisting customers, stocking shelves, or taking inventory.Done daily by most who do it.8%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Recommend locations for new facilities, or oversee the remodeling or renovating of current facilities.Done yearly or less by most who do it.7%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.7 work weeksStays with people
Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.Done daily by most who do it.6%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Direct or coordinate financial or budget activities to fund operations, maximize investments, or increase efficiency.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Develop or implement product-marketing strategies, including advertising campaigns or sales promotions.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.1 work days7%Half by Nov 2027
Manage the movement of goods into and out of production facilities to ensure efficiency, effectiveness, or sustainability of operations.Done daily by most who do it.4%1.7 h38 min to 5 h66%Half by now
Perform personnel functions, such as selection, training, or evaluation.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.