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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Chief Executives

Determine and formulate policies and provide overall direction of companies or private and public sector organizations within guidelines set up by a board of directors or similar governing body. Plan, direct, or coordinate operational activities at the highest level of management with the help of subordinate executives and staff managers.

204,350 people do this job in the US. $213,990 a year.

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 51%
  • 48%
  • 1%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
May 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 51% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 8%. Today's estimate: 12%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 8% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 12% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 31 tasks from .

TaskKind
Direct, plan, or implement policies, objectives, or activities of organizations or businesses to ensure continuing operations, to maximize returns on investments, or to increase productivity.Done daily by most who do it. 15%6.7 h1.7 h to 3.1 work daysStays with people
Analyze operations to evaluate performance of a company or its staff in meeting objectives or to determine areas of potential cost reduction, program improvement, or policy change.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.9%6.7 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days9%Half by Jul 2027
Direct or coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.Done daily by most who do it. 8%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Prepare budgets for approval, including those for funding or implementation of programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Direct or conduct studies or research on issues affecting areas of responsibility.Done yearly or less by most who do it.7%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work weekStays with people
Coordinate the development or implementation of budgetary control systems, recordkeeping systems, or other administrative control processes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Implement corrective action plans to solve organizational or departmental problems.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Direct or coordinate an organization's financial or budget activities to fund operations, maximize investments, or increase efficiency.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Prepare or present reports concerning activities, expenses, budgets, government statutes or rulings, or other items affecting businesses or program services.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Administer programs for selection of sites, construction of buildings, or provision of equipment or supplies.Done yearly or less by most who do it.3%1.3 work days2.5 h to 4.2 work days3%Half by Feb 2028
Establish departmental responsibilities and coordinate functions among departments and sites.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Negotiate or approve contracts or agreements with suppliers, distributors, federal or state agencies, or other organizational entities.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.