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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Social and Community Service Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate the activities of a social service program or community outreach organization. Oversee the program or organization's budget and policies regarding participant involvement, program requirements, and benefits. Work may involve directing social workers, counselors, or probation officers.

209,330 people do this job in the US. $80,390 a year.

now
24%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 84%
  • 16%
  • 0%
18%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
March 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 84% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 15%. Today's estimate: 24%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 15% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 24% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 16 tasks from .

TaskKind
Establish and oversee administrative procedures to meet objectives set by boards of directors or senior management.Done daily by most who do it. 21%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Research and analyze member or community needs to determine program directions and goals.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.16%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work days4%Half by Dec 2027
Direct activities of professional and technical staff members and volunteers.Done daily by most who do it. 9%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Participate in the determination of organizational policies regarding such issues as participant eligibility, program requirements, and program benefits.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 8%4.2 h1.7 h to 1.6 work days24%Half by Feb 2027
Plan and administer budgets for programs, equipment, and support services.Done more than yearly by most who do it.7%1 work day2.5 h to 3.1 work days5%Half by Oct 2027
Evaluate the work of staff and volunteers to ensure that programs are of appropriate quality and that resources are used effectively.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.7%2.5 h1.3 h to 6.7 h59%Half by now
Implement and evaluate staff, volunteer, or community training programs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Provide direct service and support to individuals or clients, such as handling a referral for child advocacy issues, conducting a needs evaluation, or resolving complaints.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Prepare and maintain records and reports, such as budgets, personnel records, or training manuals.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%2.5 h50 min to 1 work day40%Half by Dec 2026
Direct fundraising activities and the preparation of public relations materials.Done more than yearly by most who do it.4%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Establish and maintain relationships with other agencies and organizations in community to meet community needs and to ensure that services are not duplicated.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 h72%Half by now
Act as consultants to agency staff and other community programs regarding the interpretation of program-related federal, state, and county regulations and policies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h25 min to 4.2 h57%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.