Metro area, Pennsylvania
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
2,897,830 people work in this area, at mean pay of $71,730 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 1.4 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 41%
- 8%
- 51%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 41,740 | 67% | 58 million | $47K |
| Office Clerks, General | 45,660 | 58% | 55 million | $47K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 22,210 | 83% | 38 million | $38K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 22,660 | 76% | 36 million | $53K |
| Cashiers | 54,100 | 30% | 34 million | $33K |
| Registered Nurses | 73,790 | 21% | 32 million | $101K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 28,900 | 47% | 28 million | $73K |
| Personal Care Aides | 79,140 | 17% | 28 million | $30K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 19,260 | 69% | 27 million | $71K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 32,850 | 39% | 27 million | $49K |
| Retail Salespersons | 63,990 | 20% | 26 million | $35K |
| General and Operations Managers | 68,730 | 19% | 26 million | $122K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 698 smaller jobs (1,496,760 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers21 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses21 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Provide patients and families with emotional support and instruction in areas such as caring for infants, preparing healthy meals, living independently, or adapting to disability or illness.Home Health Aides14 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers12 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive12 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General11 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Participate in case reviews, consulting with the team caring for the client, to evaluate the client's needs and plan for continuing services.Personal Care Aides11 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.A job in this area10 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Work with individuals, groups, or families to plan or implement programs designed to improve the overall health of communities.Registered Nurses10 million hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Pennsylvania
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Pittsburgh, PA1,114,490 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ377,180 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA335,010 people23% now, 38% by 2028
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA255,620 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Lancaster, PA252,230 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Central Pennsylvania nonmetropolitan area187,680 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- York-Hanover, PA183,590 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Reading, PA174,670 people23% now, 34% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works