State
Pennsylvania
6,064,600 people work in Pennsylvania, at mean pay of $65,730 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 2.9 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 40%
- 8%
- 52%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 94,340 | 67% | 130 million | $45K |
| Office Clerks, General | 107,500 | 58% | 130 million | $45K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 48,920 | 76% | 78 million | $48K |
| Cashiers | 110,950 | 30% | 69 million | $29K |
| General and Operations Managers | 172,010 | 19% | 66 million | $103K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 37,830 | 83% | 65 million | $37K |
| Registered Nurses | 146,520 | 21% | 64 million | $96K |
| Retail Salespersons | 141,790 | 20% | 59 million | $31K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 39,920 | 69% | 57 million | $64K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 56,600 | 47% | 55 million | $65K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 65,310 | 39% | 53 million | $46K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 51,270 | 44% | 47 million | $66K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 743 smaller jobs (3,113,980 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 99% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers43 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses41 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons34 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers31 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders28 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General27 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers25 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive24 million hours89% of the task within reach
- Provide patients and families with emotional support and instruction in areas such as caring for infants, preparing healthy meals, living independently, or adapting to disability or illness.Home Health Aides23 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives21 million hours100% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Pennsylvania
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2,897,830 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Pittsburgh, PA1,114,490 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ377,180 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA335,010 people23% now, 38% by 2028
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA255,620 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Lancaster, PA252,230 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Central Pennsylvania nonmetropolitan area187,680 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- York-Hanover, PA183,590 people22% now, 34% by 2028
- Reading, PA174,670 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Northwestern Pennsylvania nonmetropolitan area149,200 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Southwestern Pennsylvania nonmetropolitan area140,370 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Northeastern Pennsylvania nonmetropolitan area129,300 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Erie, PA120,480 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- State College, PA68,840 people24% now, 37% by 2028
- Chambersburg, PA60,280 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Altoona, PA58,650 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Lebanon, PA53,710 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Williamsport, PA49,510 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Johnstown, PA47,810 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- Gettysburg, PA31,940 people22% now, 31% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works