Metro area, Pennsylvania
State College, PA
68,840 people work in this area, at mean pay of $62,190 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 25 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 35%
- 18%
- 47%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 56% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,460 | 54% | 1.6 million | $44K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 940 | 64% | 1.3 million | $43K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,140 | 43% | 1 million | $48K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 490 | 78% | 790,900 | $46K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,310 | 28% | 757,496 | $81K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,470 | 23% | 697,137 | $91K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,710 | 19% | 690,019 | $29K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 470 | 59% | 574,829 | $35K |
| Cashiers | 1,280 | 19% | 492,544 | $28K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 1,180 | 19% | 466,336 | $34K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 530 | 40% | 445,370 | $43K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 510 | 35% | 367,038 | $61K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 238 smaller jobs (23,920 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 79% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General365,691 hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive249,676 hours53% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive227,701 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses219,487 hours60% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives212,745 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders209,447 hours50% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons207,201 hours50% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General203,732 hours80% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives196,224 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers188,205 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Pennsylvania
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD2,897,830 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Pittsburgh, PA1,114,490 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ377,180 people21% now, 33% by 2028
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA335,010 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA255,620 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Lancaster, PA252,230 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Central Pennsylvania nonmetropolitan area187,680 people21% now, 30% by 2028
- York-Hanover, PA183,590 people21% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works