Bartenders
Mix and serve drinks to patrons, directly or through waitstaff.
756,390 people do this job in the US. $34,340 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 44%
- 0%
- 56%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 10%. Today's estimate: 14%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 20 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Done daily by most who do it. | 35% | 5 h1.7 h to 1.6 work days | 17%Half by Apr 2027 | |
| Supervise the work of bar staff and other bartenders.Done daily by most who do it. | 13% | 1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Stock bar with beer, wine, liquor, and related supplies such as ice, glassware, napkins, or straws.Done daily by most who do it. | 11% | 50 min25 min to 1.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Clean bars, work areas, and tables.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 9% | 25 min13 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Clean glasses, utensils, and bar equipment.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 8% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Balance cash receipts.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 25 min13 min to 50 min | 100%Half by now | |
| Arrange bottles and glasses to make attractive displays.Done daily by most who do it. | 3% | 25 min13 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Create drink recipes.Done daily by most who do it. | 2% | 1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h | 77%Half by now | |
| Take beverage orders from serving staff or directly from patrons.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 2% | 4 min2 min to 8 min | Stays with people | |
| Serve snacks or food items to customers seated at the bar.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 1% | 5 min3 min to 10 min | Stays with people | |
| Order or requisition liquors and supplies.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 1% | 38 min17 min to 1.3 h | 100%Half by now | |
| Mix ingredients, such as liquor, soda, water, sugar, and bitters, to prepare cocktails and other drinks.Done hourly or more by most who do it. | 1% | 4 min3 min to 10 min | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).