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Baristas

Prepare or serve specialty coffee or other beverages. Serve food such as baked goods or sandwiches to patrons.

$31,200 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 12%
  • 0%
  • 88%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 12% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 10%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 12%. Today's estimate: 12%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 1% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 8% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 8% within reacho1, December 2024: 10% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 10% within reacho3, April 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 11% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 11% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 11% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 12% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 12% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Clean or sanitize work areas, utensils, or equipment.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 15%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Demonstrate the use of retail equipment, such as espresso machines.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 10%13 min4 min to 29 minStays with people
Set up or restock product displays.Done daily by most who do it. 9%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Clean service or seating areas.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 9%13 min4 min to 29 minStays with people
Order, receive, or stock supplies or retail products.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Stock customer service stations with paper products or beverage preparation items.Done several times a day by most who do it. 8%13 min4 min to 21 minStays with people
Wrap, label, or date food items for sale.Done daily by most who do it. 6%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Prepare or serve menu items, such as sandwiches or salads.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%7 min3 min to 13 minStays with people
Prepare or serve hot or cold beverages, such as coffee, espresso drinks, blended coffees, or teas.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%4 min3 min to 8 minStays with people
Weigh, grind, or pack coffee beans for customers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%7 min3 min to 17 minStays with people
Receive and process customer payments.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%3 min2 min to 4 min100%Half by now
Take out garbage.Done several times a day by most who do it. 3%6 min3 min to 13 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.