Metro area, Texas
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
4,049,800 people work in this area, at mean pay of $70,630 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 2 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 43%
- 8%
- 49%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 25%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 49% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 96,930 | 67% | 134 million | $45K |
| Office Clerks, General | 52,740 | 58% | 64 million | $44K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 43,560 | 69% | 62 million | $63K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 34,930 | 76% | 56 million | $52K |
| General and Operations Managers | 125,090 | 19% | 48 million | $111K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 45,710 | 47% | 45 million | $73K |
| Retail Salespersons | 100,340 | 20% | 42 million | $33K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 111,100 | 18% | 41 million | $38K |
| Cashiers | 65,070 | 30% | 41 million | $30K |
| Fast Food and Counter Workers | 128,380 | 15% | 41 million | $28K |
| Project Management Specialists | 43,120 | 45% | 40 million | $99K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 39,780 | 48% | 39 million | $38K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 678 smaller jobs (2,051,820 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers39 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons24 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers22 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives22 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses21 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Contact customers to respond to inquiries or to notify them of claim investigation results or any planned adjustments.Customer Service Representatives21 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers19 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel19 million hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Texas
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX3,289,720 people24% now, 38% by 2028
- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX1,293,690 people25% now, 44% by 2028
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX1,126,880 people25% now, 39% by 2028
- El Paso, TX339,120 people26% now, 38% by 2028
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX296,700 people25% now, 34% by 2028
- North Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area275,670 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Hill Country Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area200,870 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Corpus Christi, TX192,580 people24% now, 35% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works