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Retail Salespersons

Sell merchandise, such as furniture, motor vehicles, appliances, or apparel to consumers.

3,897,860 people do this job in the US. $35,410 a year.

now
20%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 20%
  • 3%
  • 77%
32%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 20% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 20%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 3% within reacho3, April 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 12% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 15% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 15% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 16% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 17% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 20% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 20% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 24 tasks from .

TaskKind
Inventory stock and requisition new stock.Done daily by most who do it. 14%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Done daily by most who do it. 12%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Ticket, arrange, and display merchandise to promote sales.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Open and close cash registers, performing tasks such as counting money, separating charge slips, coupons, and vouchers, balancing cash drawers, and making deposits.Done hourly or more by most who do it.9%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Recommend, select, and help locate or obtain merchandise based on customer needs and desires.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.6%10 min4 min to 21 minStays with people
Demonstrate use or operation of merchandise.Done daily by most who do it. 4%13 min4 min to 25 minStays with people
Clean shelves, counters, and tables.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Describe merchandise and explain use, operation, and care of merchandise to customers.Done hourly or more by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%7 min3 min to 17 minStays with people
Prepare merchandise for purchase or rental.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 4%8 min3 min to 25 minStays with people
Watch for and recognize security risks and thefts and know how to prevent or handle these situations.Done daily by most who do it. 3%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people
Sell or arrange for delivery, insurance, financing, or service contracts for merchandise.Done daily by most who do it.3%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Maintain records related to sales.Done daily by most who do it.3%13 min4 min to 38 min99%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).