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Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and Related Workers

Sell goods or services door-to-door or on the street.

2,760 people do this job in the US. $41,380 a year.

now
27%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 31%
  • 7%
  • 63%
18%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 31% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 24%. Today's estimate: 27%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 3% within reacho3, April 2025: 8% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 10% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 13% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 13% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 14% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 15% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 24% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 27% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 12 tasks from .

TaskKind
Circulate among potential customers or travel by foot, truck, automobile, or bicycle to deliver or sell merchandise or services.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 36%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Develop prospect lists.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.10%50 min25 min to 2.5 h95%Half by now
Distribute product samples or literature that details products or services.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 10%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Arrange buying parties and solicit sponsorship of such parties to sell merchandise.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 10%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Deliver merchandise and collect payment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Persuade customers to purchase merchandise or services.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%17 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Explain products or services and prices and demonstrate use of products.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 6%13 min4 min to 33 minStays with people
Answer questions about product features and benefits.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%8 min3 min to 17 min100%Half by now
Write and record orders for merchandise or enter orders into computers.Done more than weekly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.3%13 min4 min to 25 min100%Half by now
Order or purchase supplies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%25 min8 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Set up and display sample merchandise at parties or stands.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%33 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Stock carts or stands.Done daily by most who do it.1%21 min8 min to 50 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).