Industry group, 2361
Residential Building Construction
942,780 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $70,280 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 383 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 34%
- 13%
- 53%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 15% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 17%. Today's estimate: 20%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 93% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenters | 204,290 | 14% | 58 million | $61K |
| Office Clerks, General | 38,270 | 54% | 43 million | $47K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers | 71,930 | 27% | 40 million | $76K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 19,040 | 78% | 31 million | $54K |
| Project Management Specialists | 43,410 | 33% | 30 million | $83K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 25,710 | 43% | 23 million | $64K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 22,200 | 43% | 20 million | $48K |
| General and Operations Managers | 40,030 | 23% | 19 million | $105K |
| Construction Managers | 56,450 | 11% | 13 million | $98K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 9,440 | 64% | 13 million | $53K |
| Real Estate Sales Agents | 12,160 | 33% | 8.4 million | $53K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 7,630 | 35% | 5.5 million | $71K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 135 smaller jobs (68,510 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Maintain job records and schedule work crew.Carpenters20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop or implement quality control programs.Construction Managers18 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, schedule, or coordinate construction project activities to meet deadlines.Construction Managers17 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs.First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers17 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.Carpenters12 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.Carpenters12 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel11 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.Cost Estimators10 million hours96% of the task within reach
- Develop or update project plans including information such as objectives, technologies, schedules, funding, and staffing.Project Management Specialists10 million hours96% of the task within reach
- Prepare cost estimates for clients or employers.Carpenters9.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works