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Carpenters

Construct, erect, install, or repair structures and fixtures made of wood and comparable materials, such as concrete forms; building frameworks, including partitions, joists, studding, and rafters; and wood stairways, window and door frames, and hardwood floors. May also install cabinets, siding, drywall, and batt or roll insulation. Includes brattice builders who build doors or brattices (ventilation walls or partitions) in underground passageways.

670,090 people do this job in the US. $60,580 a year.

now
16%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 17%
  • 0%
  • 83%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 17% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 14%. Today's estimate: 16%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 8% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 14% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 16% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 29 tasks from .

TaskKind
Build or repair cabinets, doors, frameworks, floors, or other wooden fixtures used in buildings, using woodworking machines, carpenter's hand tools, or power tools.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 14%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Install structures or fixtures, such as windows, frames, floorings, trim, or hardware, using carpenters' hand or power tools.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Remove damaged or defective parts or sections of structures and repair or replace, using hand tools.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Work with or remove hazardous material.Done yearly or less by most who do it.5%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Cover subfloors with building paper to keep out moisture and lay hardwood, parquet, or wood-strip-block floors by nailing floors to subfloor or cementing them to mastic or asphalt base.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Maintain job records and schedule work crew.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min17 min to 1.7 h98%Half by now
Build sleds from logs and timbers for use in hauling camp buildings and machinery through wooded areas.Done more than yearly by most who do it.5%1.3 work days6.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.Done daily by most who do it. 4%17 min8 min to 38 minStays with people
Apply shock-absorbing, sound-deadening, or decorative paneling to ceilings or walls.Done yearly or less by most who do it.4%5.8 h3.3 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 h91%Half by now
Finish surfaces of woodwork or wallboard in houses or buildings, using paint, hand tools, or paneling.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.7 h38 min to 5 hStays with people
Follow established safety rules and regulations and maintain a safe and clean environment.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).