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Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters

Fabricate, position, align, and fit parts of structural metal products.

52,360 people do this job in the US. $51,330 a year.

now
5%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 5%
  • 0%
  • 95%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 5% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 5%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 3% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 4% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 4% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 5% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 23 tasks from .

TaskKind
Position, align, fit, and weld parts to form complete units or subunits, following blueprints and layout specifications, and using jigs, welding torches, and hand tools.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 29%2.5 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Set up and operate fabricating machines, such as brakes, rolls, shears, flame cutters, grinders, and drill presses, to bend, cut, form, punch, drill, or otherwise form and assemble metal components.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.3 h17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Set up face blocks, jigs, and fixtures.Done daily by most who do it. 6%50 min25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Hammer, chip, and grind workpieces to cut, bend, and straighten metal.Done daily by most who do it. 6%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Tack-weld fitted parts together.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 5%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Study engineering drawings and blueprints to determine materials requirements and task sequences.Done daily by most who do it. 5%25 min13 min to 1.3 h100%Half by now
Align and fit parts according to specifications, using jacks, turnbuckles, wedges, drift pins, pry bars, and hammers.Done daily by most who do it. 5%50 min13 min to 2.1 hStays with people
Straighten warped or bent parts, using sledges, hand torches, straightening presses, or bulldozers.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%1.3 h17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Lay out and examine metal stock or workpieces to be processed to ensure that specifications are met.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min8 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Move parts into position, manually or with hoists or cranes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%17 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Lift or move materials and finished products, using large cranes.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Verify conformance of workpieces to specifications, using squares, rulers, and measuring tapes.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 3%13 min4 min to 38 minStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.