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Layout Workers, Metal and Plastic

Lay out reference points and dimensions on metal or plastic stock or workpieces, such as sheets, plates, tubes, structural shapes, castings, or machine parts, for further processing. Includes shipfitters.

5,970 people do this job in the US. $63,870 a year.

now
10%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 13%
  • 0%
  • 87%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 13% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 8%. Today's estimate: 10%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 8% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 10% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Lay out and fabricate metal structural parts such as plates, bulkheads, and frames.Done daily by most who do it. 27%3.3 h1.3 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Fit and align fabricated parts to be welded or assembled.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 17%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Plan and develop layouts from blueprints and templates, applying knowledge of trigonometry, design, effects of heat, and properties of metals.Done daily by most who do it. 12%1.7 h50 min to 5 h76%Half by now
Mark curves, lines, holes, dimensions, and welding symbols onto workpieces, using scribes, soapstones, punches, and hand drills.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 8%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Install doors, hatches, brackets, and clips.Done daily by most who do it.7%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Brace parts in position within hulls or ships for riveting or welding.Done daily by most who do it.6%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Plan locations and sequences of cutting, drilling, bending, rolling, punching, and welding operations, using compasses, protractors, dividers, and rules.Done daily by most who do it. 6%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Design and prepare templates of wood, paper, or metal.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Compute layout dimensions, and determine and mark reference points on metal stock or workpieces for further processing, such as welding and assembly.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Lift and position workpieces in relation to surface plates, manually or with hoists, and using parallel blocks and angle plates.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min8 min to 50 minStays with people
Locate center lines and verify template positions, using measuring instruments such as gauge blocks, height gauges, and dial indicators.Done daily by most who do it. 3%29 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Inspect machined parts to verify conformance to specifications.Done more than monthly by most who do it.2%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).