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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters

Cut, shape, and assemble wooden articles or set up and operate a variety of woodworking machines, such as power saws, jointers, and mortisers to surface, cut, or shape lumber or to fabricate parts for wood products.

77,170 people do this job in the US. $46,680 a year.

now
14%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 22%
  • 0%
  • 78%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 22% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 11%. Today's estimate: 14%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 3% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 3% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 11% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 14% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 20 tasks from .

TaskKind
Produce or assemble components of articles, such as store fixtures, office equipment, cabinets, or high-grade furniture.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 20%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Establish the specifications of articles to be constructed or repaired, or plan the methods or operations for shaping or assembling parts, based on blueprints, drawings, diagrams, or oral or written instructions.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Repair or alter wooden furniture, cabinetry, fixtures, paneling, or other pieces.Done daily by most who do it. 9%2.5 h38 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Attach parts or subassemblies together to form completed units, using glue, dowels, nails, screws, or clamps.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Cut timber to the right size, and shape and trim parts of joints to ensure a snug fit, using hand tools, such as planes, chisels, or wood files.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.1 h17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Set up or operate machines, including power saws, jointers, mortisers, tenoners, molders, or shapers, to cut, mold, or shape woodstock or wood substitutes.Done daily by most who do it. 6%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Trim, sand, or scrape surfaces or joints to prepare articles for finishing.Done daily by most who do it. 5%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Match materials for color, grain, or texture, giving attention to knots or other features of the wood.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Design furniture, using computer-aided drawing programs.Done more than monthly by most who do it.4%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Dip, brush, or spray assembled articles with protective or decorative finishes, such as stain, varnish, paint, or lacquer.Done more than yearly by most who do it.4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Program computers to operate machinery.Done daily by most who do it.4%1.7 h25 min to 5 h51%Half by now
Measure and mark dimensions of parts on paper or lumber stock prior to cutting, following blueprints, to ensure a tight fit and quality product.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).