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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Industry group, 3370A1

Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing (3371 and 3372 only)

312,680 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $55,760 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
18%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$4.5B

a year: 117 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 30%
  • 10%
  • 60%
3%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 16% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 30% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 16%. Today's estimate: 18%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 5% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 7% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 9% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 16% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 18% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 87% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters56,21014%16 million$46K
First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers14,34032%9.5 million$63K
Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks7,27053%8 million$44K
Team Assemblers31,28010%6.8 million$41K
Office Clerks, General5,59054%6.3 million$46K
Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products7,22036%5.4 million$65K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks3,24078%5.2 million$50K
Customer Service Representatives3,34064%4.5 million$49K
Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks2,89063%3.8 million$49K
General and Operations Managers7,73023%3.7 million$103K
Carpenters11,58014%3.3 million$55K
Project Management Specialists4,03033%2.8 million$77K

People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 153 smaller jobs (40,430 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Establish the specifications of articles to be constructed or repaired, or plan the methods or operations for shaping or assembling parts, based on blueprints, drawings, diagrams, or oral or written instructions.Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters
    11 million hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Design furniture, using computer-aided drawing programs.Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters
    5 million hours99% of the task within reach
  3. Program computers to operate machinery.Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters
    4.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
  4. Plan and establish work schedules, assignments, and production sequences to meet production goals.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    3.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Plan and develop new products and production processes.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    3 million hours67% of the task within reach
  6. Review work orders and blueprints to ensure work is performed according to specifications.Team Assemblers
    2.8 million hours50% of the task within reach
  7. Estimate the amounts, types, or costs of needed materials.Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters
    2.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
  8. Read and analyze charts, work orders, production schedules, and other records and reports to determine production requirements and to evaluate current production estimates and outputs.First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers
    2.3 million hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Complete production reports to communicate team production level to management.Team Assemblers
    2.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Draw up detailed specifications and discuss projects with customers.Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters
    2.1 million hours100% of the task within reach

Scan a typical company in this industry

The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.

Next to this industry

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works