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Cost Estimators

Prepare cost estimates for product manufacturing, construction projects, or services to aid management in bidding on or determining price of product or service. May specialize according to particular service performed or type of product manufactured.

224,220 people do this job in the US. $78,740 a year.

now
9%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 92%
  • 6%
  • 1%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
October 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 92% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 5%. Today's estimate: 9%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 5% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 9% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 14 tasks from .

TaskKind
Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 38%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Conduct special studies to develop and establish standard hour and related cost data or to reduce cost.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 16%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks0%Half by Jun 2028
Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 10%5 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days14%Half by Jun 2027
Establish and maintain tendering process, and conduct negotiations.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.3 work days3%Half by Nov 2027
Confer with engineers, architects, owners, contractors, and subcontractors on changes and adjustments to cost estimates.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Review material and labor requirements to decide whether it is more cost-effective to produce or purchase components.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Set up cost monitoring and reporting systems and procedures.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%1.3 work days3.3 h to 3.3 work days3%Half by Nov 2027
Assess cost effectiveness of products, projects or services, tracking actual costs relative to bids as the project develops.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.7 work days21%Half by May 2027
Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Prepare estimates used by management for purposes such as planning, organizing, and scheduling work.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Consult with clients, vendors, personnel in other departments, or construction foremen to discuss and formulate estimates and resolve issues.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 2%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).