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Architectural and Engineering Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate activities in such fields as architecture and engineering or research and development in these fields.

220,260 people do this job in the US. $171,270 a year.

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 74%
  • 26%
  • 0%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
August 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 74% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 12%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 1% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 12% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Manage the coordination and overall integration of technical activities in architecture or engineering projects.Done several times a day by most who do it. 22%3.3 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days32%Half by Jan 2027
Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for engineering and technical work.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 22%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work week2%Half by Apr 2028
Assess project feasibility by analyzing technology, resource needs, or market demand.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 12%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Plan or direct the installation, testing, operation, maintenance, or repair of facilities or equipment.Done more than yearly by most who do it.8%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Direct, review, or approve project design changes.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%1.7 h25 min to 5 hStays with people
Consult or negotiate with clients to prepare project specifications.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 1.3 work daysStays with people
Evaluate the environmental impacts of engineering, architecture, or research and development activities.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Identify environmental threats or opportunities associated with the development and launch of new technologies.Done more than yearly by most who do it.3%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Develop or implement programs to improve sustainability or reduce the environmental impacts of engineering or architecture activities or operations.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work week2%Half by Apr 2028
Confer with management, production, or marketing staff to discuss project specifications or procedures.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Evaluate environmental regulations or social pressures related to environmental issues to inform strategic or operational decision-making.Done yearly or less by most who do it.2%5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days14%Half by Jul 2027
Perform administrative functions, such as reviewing or writing reports, approving expenditures, enforcing rules, or purchasing of materials or services.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.