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Electrical Engineers

Research, design, develop, test, or supervise the manufacturing and installation of electrical equipment, components, or systems for commercial, industrial, military, or scientific use.

198,750 people do this job in the US. $120,630 a year.

now
3%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 75%
  • 7%
  • 17%
6%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
September 2028

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 75% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 2%. Today's estimate: 3%.

0%5%10%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 0% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 0% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 0% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 2% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 3% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 22 tasks from .

TaskKind
Design, implement, maintain, or improve electrical instruments, equipment, facilities, components, products, or systems for commercial, industrial, or domestic purposes.Done daily by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.5 work weeksStays with people
Plan or implement research methodology or procedures to apply principles of electrical theory to engineering projects.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 3.3 work weeks0%Half by Apr 2029
Develop software to control electrical systems.Done more than monthly by most who do it.11%4.2 work days6.7 h to 1.2 work months0%Half by Jul 2029
Prepare technical drawings, specifications of electrical systems, or topographical maps to ensure that installation and operations conform to standards and customer requirements.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks2%Half by Jun 2028
Oversee project production efforts to assure projects are completed on time and within budget.Done daily by most who do it. 8%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days8%Half by Sep 2027
Compile data and write reports regarding existing or potential electrical engineering studies or projects.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeks2%Half by May 2028
Operate computer-assisted engineering or design software or equipment to perform engineering tasks.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%3.3 h25 min to 1.7 work days13%Half by Nov 2027
Develop systems that produce electricity with renewable energy sources, such as wind, solar, or biofuels.Done more than yearly by most who do it.5%1.3 work weeks1.7 work days to 1.5 work months0%Half by Aug 2029
Direct or coordinate manufacturing, construction, installation, maintenance, support, documentation, or testing activities to ensure compliance with specifications, codes, or customer requirements.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%6.7 h1.7 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Integrate electrical systems with renewable energy systems to improve overall efficiency.Done yearly or less by most who do it.5%1.3 work weeks6.7 h to 1.5 work months0%Half by Feb 2030
Inspect completed installations and observe operations to ensure conformance to design and equipment specifications and compliance with operational, safety, or environmental standards.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%5 h1.7 h to 2.5 work daysStays with people
Investigate or test vendors' or competitors' products.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1.3 work weeksStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.