Metro area, Michigan
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
1,904,530 people work in this area, at mean pay of $69,210 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 854 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 39%
- 17%
- 45%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 48% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 31,310 | 64% | 42 million | $45K |
| Office Clerks, General | 34,570 | 54% | 39 million | $46K |
| Registered Nurses | 44,310 | 28% | 26 million | $97K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 14,730 | 78% | 24 million | $51K |
| Retail Salespersons | 48,610 | 19% | 20 million | $35K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 11,620 | 81% | 20 million | $42K |
| General and Operations Managers | 37,250 | 23% | 18 million | $104K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 16,970 | 43% | 15 million | $47K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 37,090 | 19% | 15 million | $37K |
| Cashiers | 37,910 | 19% | 15 million | $30K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 17,190 | 36% | 13 million | $78K |
| Team Assemblers | 55,100 | 10% | 12 million | $49K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 640 smaller jobs (966,630 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General8.7 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses7.4 million hours60% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives7.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Modify existing software to correct errors, adapt it to new hardware, or upgrade interfaces and improve performance.Software Developers6.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists6.7 million hours90% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives6.5 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons5.9 million hours50% of the task within reach
- Plan and establish sequence of operations to fabricate and assemble parts or products and to promote efficient utilization.Industrial Engineers5.8 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel5.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers5.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Michigan
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI598,260 people21% now, 34% by 2028
- Ann Arbor, MI219,730 people24% now, 40% by 2028
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI217,180 people23% now, 39% by 2028
- Mid Michigan nonmetropolitan area152,580 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Flint, MI135,040 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Southern Michigan nonmetropolitan area134,800 people20% now, 31% by 2028
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI121,790 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Northern Michigan nonmetropolitan area117,550 people21% now, 31% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works