State
Michigan
4,403,730 people work in Michigan, at mean pay of $64,920 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 2.1 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 40%
- 7%
- 53%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 47% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 88,030 | 58% | 107 million | $45K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 71,310 | 67% | 99 million | $44K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 37,550 | 76% | 60 million | $49K |
| Cashiers | 92,930 | 30% | 58 million | $30K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 27,960 | 87% | 51 million | $41K |
| Retail Salespersons | 111,010 | 20% | 46 million | $35K |
| Registered Nurses | 104,950 | 21% | 46 million | $94K |
| Team Assemblers | 112,310 | 18% | 41 million | $45K |
| Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel | 27,160 | 69% | 39 million | $73K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 40,960 | 44% | 38 million | $73K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 40,830 | 39% | 33 million | $46K |
| General and Operations Managers | 85,860 | 19% | 33 million | $100K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 729 smaller jobs (2,288,080 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers31 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses29 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons27 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General22 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Review work orders and blueprints to ensure work is performed according to specifications.Team Assemblers20 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.A job in this area16 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Contact customers to respond to inquiries or to notify them of claim investigation results or any planned adjustments.Customer Service Representatives15 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General15 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers15 million hours99% of the task within reach
Metro and nonmetro areas in Michigan
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI1,904,530 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI598,260 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Ann Arbor, MI219,730 people25% now, 42% by 2028
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI217,180 people25% now, 41% by 2028
- Mid Michigan nonmetropolitan area152,580 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Flint, MI135,040 people24% now, 34% by 2028
- Southern Michigan nonmetropolitan area134,800 people22% now, 33% by 2028
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI121,790 people24% now, 37% by 2028
- Northern Michigan nonmetropolitan area117,550 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Upper Peninsula of Michigan nonmetropolitan area111,890 people23% now, 34% by 2028
- Saginaw, MI80,000 people25% now, 37% by 2028
- Traverse City, MI68,440 people25% now, 36% by 2028
- Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI62,340 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Niles, MI59,970 people23% now, 35% by 2028
- Jackson, MI55,930 people24% now, 37% by 2028
- Battle Creek, MI54,600 people23% now, 36% by 2028
- Monroe, MI40,740 people23% now, 33% by 2028
- Midland, MI37,300 people24% now, 39% by 2028
- Bay City, MI33,810 people24% now, 34% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works