Metro area, Michigan
Muskegon-Norton Shores, MI
62,340 people work in this area, at mean pay of $56,400 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 23 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 32%
- 17%
- 52%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 56% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,020 | 54% | 1.2 million | $43K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,360 | 19% | 952,308 | $31K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 700 | 64% | 937,664 | $41K |
| Cashiers | 1,890 | 19% | 727,272 | $29K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 440 | 78% | 710,196 | $48K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 350 | 81% | 587,496 | $42K |
| Shipping, Receiving, and Inventory Clerks | 510 | 53% | 561,163 | $44K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 660 | 40% | 554,612 | $36K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,140 | 23% | 540,637 | $86K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 1,250 | 19% | 494,000 | $34K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 520 | 43% | 460,763 | $45K |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 590 | 36% | 439,339 | $62K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 241 smaller jobs (23,490 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 86% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons285,962 hours50% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers277,897 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General255,483 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers198,015 hours100% of the task within reach
- Balance receipts and payments in cash registers.Fast Food and Counter Workers167,215 hours50% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives158,427 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain records related to sales.Retail Salespersons152,320 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders150,655 hours50% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives146,124 hours100% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers145,771 hours40% of the task within reach
Other areas in Michigan
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI1,904,530 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI598,260 people21% now, 34% by 2028
- Ann Arbor, MI219,730 people24% now, 40% by 2028
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI217,180 people23% now, 39% by 2028
- Mid Michigan nonmetropolitan area152,580 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Flint, MI135,040 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Southern Michigan nonmetropolitan area134,800 people20% now, 31% by 2028
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI121,790 people23% now, 35% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works