Nonmetro area, Michigan
Northern Michigan nonmetropolitan area
117,550 people work in this area, at mean pay of $53,420 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 48 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 31%
- 17%
- 52%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 21%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 53% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 2,520 | 54% | 2.8 million | $42K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,190 | 78% | 1.9 million | $45K |
| Cashiers | 4,310 | 19% | 1.7 million | $29K |
| Retail Salespersons | 3,750 | 19% | 1.5 million | $35K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,100 | 64% | 1.5 million | $40K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 740 | 81% | 1.2 million | $39K |
| Registered Nurses | 2,130 | 28% | 1.2 million | $83K |
| General and Operations Managers | 2,520 | 23% | 1.2 million | $81K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 2,960 | 19% | 1.2 million | $34K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,210 | 43% | 1.1 million | $40K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 870 | 59% | 1.1 million | $37K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 1,360 | 30% | 842,984 | $61K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 344 smaller jobs (51,660 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 94% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers633,722 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General631,193 hours100% of the task within reach
- Attend training classes to maintain certification licensure, keep abreast of new developments in the field, or maintain existing knowledge.A job in this area548,910 hours99% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons454,389 hours50% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers451,557 hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders429,918 hours50% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks386,998 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses356,876 hours60% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General351,647 hours80% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers322,231 hours40% of the task within reach
Other areas in Michigan
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI1,904,530 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Grand Rapids-Wyoming-Kentwood, MI598,260 people21% now, 34% by 2028
- Ann Arbor, MI219,730 people24% now, 40% by 2028
- Lansing-East Lansing, MI217,180 people23% now, 39% by 2028
- Mid Michigan nonmetropolitan area152,580 people21% now, 32% by 2028
- Flint, MI135,040 people22% now, 32% by 2028
- Southern Michigan nonmetropolitan area134,800 people20% now, 31% by 2028
- Kalamazoo-Portage, MI121,790 people23% now, 35% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works