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First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of construction or extraction workers.

812,210 people do this job in the US. $79,920 a year.

now
42%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 48%
  • 20%
  • 32%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 48% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 37%. Today's estimate: 42%.

0%10%20%30%40%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 9% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 15% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 15% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 18% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 20% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 37% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 42% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Supervise, coordinate, or schedule the activities of construction or extractive workers.Done daily by most who do it. 18%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Inspect work progress, equipment, or construction sites to verify safety or to ensure that specifications are met.Done daily by most who do it. 12%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Estimate material or worker requirements to complete jobs.Done daily by most who do it. 11%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Analyze worker or production problems and recommend solutions, such as improving production methods or implementing motivational plans.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Read specifications, such as blueprints, to determine construction requirements or to plan procedures.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.8%38 min17 min to 1.7 h98%Half by now
Provide assistance to workers engaged in construction or extraction activities, using hand tools or other equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Train workers in construction methods, operation of equipment, safety procedures, or company policies.Done daily by most who do it. 7%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Coordinate work activities with other construction project activities.Done daily by most who do it. 7%50 min17 min to 1.7 h96%Half by now
Assign work to employees, based on material or worker requirements of specific jobs.Done several times a day by most who do it. 5%25 min13 min to 50 min100%Half by now
Locate, measure, and mark site locations or placement of structures or equipment, using measuring and marking equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Suggest or initiate personnel actions, such as promotions, transfers, or hires.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 3%1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h65%Half by now
Confer with managerial or technical personnel, other departments, or contractors to resolve problems or to coordinate activities.Done daily by most who do it. 3%38 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).