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First-Line Supervisors of Landscaping, Lawn Service, and Groundskeeping Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of workers engaged in landscaping or groundskeeping activities. Work may involve reviewing contracts to ascertain service, machine, and workforce requirements; answering inquiries from potential customers regarding methods, material, and price ranges; and preparing estimates according to labor, material, and machine costs.

130,760 people do this job in the US. $58,430 a year.

now
28%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 32%
  • 7%
  • 61%
11%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 32% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 23%. Today's estimate: 28%.

0%10%20%30%40%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 8% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 9% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 23% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 28% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 28 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plant or maintain vegetation through activities such as mulching, fertilizing, watering, mowing, or pruning.Done daily by most who do it. 10%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Install or maintain landscaped areas, performing tasks such as removing snow, pouring cement curbs, or repairing sidewalks.Done daily by most who do it. 9%3.3 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Establish and enforce operating procedures and work standards that will ensure adequate performance and personnel safety.Done daily by most who do it. 9%2.5 h50 min to 3.3 h70%Half by now
Direct or assist workers engaged in the maintenance or repair of equipment, such as power tools or motorized equipment.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Design or supervise the installation of sprinkler systems, calculating water pressure, or valve and pipe coverage needs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Tour grounds, such as parks, botanical gardens, cemeteries, or golf courses, to inspect conditions of plants and soil.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Confer with managers or landscape architects to develop plans or schedules for landscaping maintenance or improvement.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Schedule work for crews, depending on work priorities, crew or equipment availability, or weather conditions.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min17 min to 1.7 h96%Half by now
Monitor project activities to ensure that instructions are followed, deadlines are met, and schedules are maintained.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%50 min17 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Review contracts or work assignments to determine service, machine, or workforce requirements for jobs.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.1 h25 min to 2.5 h91%Half by now
Provide workers with assistance in performing duties as necessary to meet deadlines.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Inspect completed work to ensure conformance to specifications, standards, and contract requirements.Done daily by most who do it. 4%50 min17 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).