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First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of entertainment and recreation related workers.

103,190 people do this job in the US. $48,560 a year.

now
24%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 30%
  • 28%
  • 43%
4%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 30% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 24%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 1% within reacho3, April 2025: 4% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 6% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 9% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 9% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 11% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 22% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 24% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 19 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan, direct, or supervise recreational and entertainment activities led by staff, such as sports, aquatics, games, or performing arts.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 24%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Recruit and hire staff members.Done more than yearly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.11%5 h1.7 h to 1.6 work daysStays with people
Collaborate with staff members to plan or develop programs of events or schedules of activities.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 9%1.7 h50 min to 5 hStays with people
Direct or coordinate the activities of entertainment and recreation related workers.Done daily by most who do it. 6%50 min25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Participate in continuing education to stay abreast of industry trends and developments.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 6%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Assign work schedules, following work requirements, to ensure quality and timely delivery of service.Done daily by most who do it. 5%50 min25 min to 1.7 h99%Half by now
Observe and evaluate workers' appearance and performance to ensure quality service and compliance with specifications.Done daily by most who do it. 5%50 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Apply customer feedback to service improvement efforts.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.5%1.3 h17 min to 3.3 h64%Half by now
Train workers in proper operational procedures and functions and explain company policies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.7 h38 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Meet with managers or other supervisors to stay informed of changes affecting workers or operations.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Provide staff with assistance in performing difficult or complicated duties.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Inspect work areas or operating equipment to ensure conformance to established standards in areas such as cleanliness or maintenance.Done daily by most who do it. 4%38 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).