First-Line Supervisors of Non-Retail Sales Workers
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of sales workers other than retail sales workers. May perform duties such as budgeting, accounting, and personnel work, in addition to supervisory duties.
214,390 people do this job in the US. $87,520 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 63%
- 23%
- 14%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 29%. Today's estimate: 37%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 18 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct and supervise employees engaged in sales, inventory-taking, reconciling cash receipts, or performing specific services.Done daily by most who do it. | 13% | 1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Formulate pricing policies on merchandise according to profitability requirements.Done daily by most who do it. | 12% | 2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h | 46%Half by Oct 2026 | |
| Coordinate sales promotion activities, such as preparing merchandise displays and advertising copy.Done daily by most who do it. | 9% | 2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h | 46%Half by Oct 2026 | |
| Analyze details of sales territories to assess their growth potential and to set quotas.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 9% | 5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days | 17%Half by Apr 2027 | |
| Hire, train, and evaluate personnel.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 7% | 4.2 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days | Stays with people | |
| Plan and prepare work schedules, and assign employees to specific duties.Done daily by most who do it. | 7% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | 87%Half by now | |
| Provide staff with assistance in performing difficult or complicated duties.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 38 min13 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Monitor sales staff performance to ensure that goals are met.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 6% | 50 min25 min to 2.5 h | 95%Half by now | |
| Keep records pertaining to purchases, sales, and requisitions.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 1.3 h17 min to 3.3 h | 64%Half by now | |
| Visit retailers and sales representatives to promote products and gather information.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Prepare sales and inventory reports for management and budget departments.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 5% | 3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h | 32%Half by Jan 2027 | |
| Attend company meetings to exchange product information and coordinate work activities with other departments.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 3% | 1.3 h50 min to 2.5 h | 99%Half by now |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers47% now, 77% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers26% now, 46% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Entertainment and Recreation Workers, Except Gambling Services24% now, 30% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers27% now, 57% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants37% now, 54% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers35% now, 62% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
- Credit Intermediation and Related Activities (5221 and 5223 only)23,550 people
- Electronics and Appliance Retailers19,350 people
- Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods (4232, 4233, 4235, 4236, 4237, and 4239 only)15,870 people
- Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods (4244 and 4248 only)12,240 people
- Telecommunications10,600 people
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).