Industry group, 5220A1
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities (5221 and 5223 only)
1,999,900 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $88,930 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 1.7 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 73%
- 12%
- 16%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 30% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 4%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 37%. Today's estimate: 42%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 92% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents | 257,110 | 59% | 313 million | $61K |
| Loan Officers | 145,430 | 77% | 232 million | $78K |
| Tellers | 314,650 | 35% | 229 million | $43K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 118,670 | 67% | 164 million | $48K |
| Loan Interviewers and Clerks | 83,760 | 82% | 143 million | $50K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 85,870 | 47% | 84 million | $66K |
| Personal Financial Advisors | 44,920 | 66% | 62 million | $96K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 31,400 | 76% | 50 million | $48K |
| Financial Managers | 113,190 | 19% | 44 million | $132K |
| New Accounts Clerks | 34,390 | 61% | 43 million | $48K |
| Credit Analysts | 30,150 | 47% | 30 million | $83K |
| Bill and Account Collectors | 15,450 | 63% | 20 million | $51K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 110 smaller jobs (156,430 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 98% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Identify opportunities or develop channels for purchase or sale of securities or commodities.Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents69 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Determine customers' financial services needs and prepare proposals to sell services that address these needs.Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents63 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop financial plans, based on analysis of clients' financial status.Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents61 million hours99% of the task within reach
- Devise trading, option, or hedge strategies.Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents60 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze applicants' financial status, credit, and property evaluations to determine feasibility of granting loans.Loan Officers46 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Identify transaction mistakes when debits and credits do not balance.Tellers44 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Evaluate financial reporting systems, accounting or collection procedures, or investment activities and make recommendations for changes to procedures, operating systems, budgets, or other financial control functions.Financial Managers43 million hours94% of the task within reach
- Track and analyze factors that affect price movement, such as trade policies, weather conditions, political developments, or supply and demand changes.Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents42 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Monitor markets or positions.Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents37 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop or analyze information to assess the current or future financial status of firms.Financial Managers35 million hours96% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works