Industry group, 5222
Nondepository Credit Intermediation
510,600 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $91,520 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 464 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 75%
- 20%
- 5%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 35% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 3%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 41%. Today's estimate: 45%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 89% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loan Officers | 76,670 | 77% | 122 million | $65K |
| Loan Interviewers and Clerks | 49,100 | 82% | 84 million | $49K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 34,730 | 64% | 47 million | $47K |
| Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents | 24,160 | 59% | 29 million | $74K |
| Bill and Account Collectors | 17,750 | 63% | 23 million | $48K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 8,200 | 78% | 13 million | $56K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 17,110 | 35% | 12 million | $66K |
| General and Operations Managers | 25,180 | 23% | 12 million | $106K |
| Credit Analysts | 10,220 | 48% | 10 million | $81K |
| Office Clerks, General | 7,940 | 54% | 9 million | $46K |
| Financial Managers | 23,660 | 15% | 7.4 million | $165K |
| Sales Managers | 7,340 | 28% | 4.3 million | $161K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 108 smaller jobs (54,390 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 97% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Analyze applicants' financial status, credit, and property evaluations to determine feasibility of granting loans.Loan Officers24 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Work with clients to identify their financial goals and to find ways of reaching those goals.Loan Officers12 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Verify and examine information and accuracy of loan application and closing documents.Loan Interviewers and Clerks9.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Evaluate financial reporting systems, accounting or collection procedures, or investment activities and make recommendations for changes to procedures, operating systems, budgets, or other financial control functions.Financial Managers9 million hours94% of the task within reach
- Calculate, review, and correct errors on interest, principal, payment, and closing costs, using computers or calculators.Loan Interviewers and Clerks8.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and compile copies of loan applicants' credit histories, corporate financial statements, and other financial information.Loan Officers8.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Schedule and conduct closings of mortgage transactions.Loan Interviewers and Clerks8.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives7.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Explain to customers the different types of loans and credit options that are available, as well as the terms of those services.Loan Officers7.8 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Stay abreast of new types of loans and other financial services and products to better meet customers' needs.Loan Officers7.6 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works