First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers
Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of mechanics, installers, and repairers. May also advise customers on recommended services. Excludes team or work leaders.
617,500 people do this job in the US. $79,860 a year.
of the working time. Estimate.
- 57%
- 6%
- 36%
Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 27%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 22 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Develop or implement electronic maintenance programs or computer information management systems.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 16% | 1 work day3.3 h to 4.2 work days | 5%Half by Oct 2027 | |
| Examine objects, systems, or facilities and analyze information to determine needed installations, services, or repairs.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task. | 12% | 1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Perform skilled repair or maintenance operations, using equipment such as hand or power tools, hydraulic presses or shears, or welding equipment.Done daily by most who do it. | 10% | 2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Participate in budget preparation and administration, coordinating purchasing and documentation and monitoring departmental expenditures.Done daily by most who do it. | 8% | 3.3 h1.3 h to 1.7 work days | 27%Half by Mar 2027 | |
| Determine schedules, sequences, and assignments for work activities, based on work priority, quantity of equipment, and skill of personnel.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 50 min21 min to 2.5 h | 92%Half by now | |
| Develop, implement, or evaluate maintenance policies and procedures.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 4.2 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days | 27%Half by Jan 2027 | |
| Monitor employees' work levels and review work performance.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 38 min13 min to 1.7 h | 95%Half by now | |
| Compute estimates and actual costs of factors such as materials, labor, or outside contractors.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | 87%Half by now | |
| Inspect and monitor work areas, examine tools and equipment, and provide employee safety training to prevent, detect, and correct unsafe conditions or violations of procedures and safety rules.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 50 min25 min to 2.5 h | Stays with people | |
| Review, evaluate, accept, and coordinate completion of work bid from contractors.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 3% | 2.1 h50 min to 4.2 h | 72%Half by now | |
| Requisition materials and supplies, such as tools, equipment, or replacement parts.Done daily by most who do it. | 3% | 25 min8 min to 1.3 h | 97%Half by now | |
| Design equipment configurations to meet personnel needs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 3% | 4.2 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days | 27%Half by Jan 2027 |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers35% now, 62% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers42% now, 48% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand44% now, 50% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants37% now, 54% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators51% now, 57% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers47% now, 77% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).