First-Line Supervisors of Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators
Directly supervise and coordinate activities of material-moving machine and vehicle operators and helpers.
$62,890 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
of the working time. Estimate.
- 57%
- 4%
- 39%
Anthropic's data does not cover this job.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 46%. Today's estimate: 51%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
The tasks
Sorted by . 22 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plan work assignments and equipment allocations to meet transportation, operations or production goals.Done daily by most who do it. | 12% | 1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h | 87%Half by now | |
| Drive vehicles or operate machines or equipment to complete work assignments or to assist workers.Done daily by most who do it. | 10% | 1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Recommend and implement measures to improve worker motivation, equipment performance, work methods, or customer services.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 7% | 1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h | 77%Half by now | |
| Plan and establish schedules. | 7% | 1.7 h25 min to 3.3 h | 65%Half by now | |
| Resolve worker problems or collaborate with employees to assist in problem resolution.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 33 min13 min to 1.3 h | 99%Half by now | |
| Monitor field work to ensure proper performance and use of materials.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 50 min17 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Review orders, production schedules, blueprints, or shipping or receiving notices to determine work sequences and material shipping dates, types, volumes, or destinations.Done daily by most who do it. | 6% | 33 min13 min to 1.3 h | 99%Half by now | |
| Perform or schedule repairs or preventive maintenance of vehicles or other equipment.Done daily by most who do it. | 5% | 50 min17 min to 3.3 h | Stays with people | |
| Prepare, compile, and submit reports on work activities, operations, production, or work-related accidents.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 50 min17 min to 1.7 h | 96%Half by now | |
| Explain and demonstrate work tasks to new workers or assign training tasks to experienced workers.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 50 min17 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people | |
| Confer with customers, supervisors, contractors, or other personnel to exchange information or to resolve problems.Done daily by most who do it. | 4% | 21 min8 min to 50 min | Stays with people | |
| Assist workers in tasks, such as loading vehicles. | 3% | 50 min17 min to 1.7 h | Stays with people |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand44% now, 50% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers27% now, 57% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers35% now, 62% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers42% now, 48% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Passenger Attendants37% now, 54% by 2028
- First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers16% now, 24% by 2028
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.