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First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers

Directly supervise and coordinate the activities of agricultural, forestry, aquacultural, and related workers.

27,960 people do this job in the US. $59,320 a year.

now
16%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 23%
  • 4%
  • 72%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 23% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 13%. Today's estimate: 16%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 4% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 6% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 7% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 13% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 16% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 30 tasks from .

TaskKind
Drive or operate farm machinery, such as trucks, tractors, or self-propelled harvesters, to transport workers or supplies or to cultivate or harvest fields.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 13%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Perform both supervisory and management functions, such as accounting, marketing, and personnel work.Done daily by most who do it. 10%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 h32%Half by Jan 2027
Coordinate the selection and movement of logs from storage areas, according to transportation schedules or production requirements.Done daily by most who do it. 8%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Train workers in tree felling or bucking, operation of tractors or loading machines, yarding or loading techniques, or safety regulations.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 7%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Train workers in techniques such as planting, harvesting, weeding, or insect identification and in the use of safety measures.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.7 h50 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Inspect crops, fields, or plant stock to determine conditions and need for cultivating, spraying, weeding, or harvesting.Done daily by most who do it. 6%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Observe animals for signs of illness, injury, or unusual behavior, notifying veterinarians or managers as warranted.Done daily by most who do it. 4%38 min17 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Monitor operations to identify and solve problems, improve work methods, and ensure compliance with safety, company, and government regulations.3%2.5 h50 min to 4.2 hStays with people
Train workers in spawning, rearing, cultivating, and harvesting methods, and in the use of equipment.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h1.3 h to 5 hStays with people
Coordinate dismantling, moving, and setting up equipment at new work sites.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h50 min to 1 work dayStays with people
Inspect facilities to determine maintenance needs.Done daily by most who do it. 3%50 min25 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Monitor workers to ensure that safety regulations are followed, warning or disciplining those who violate safety regulations.Done daily by most who do it. 3%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).