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Solar Energy Installation Managers

Direct work crews installing residential or commercial solar photovoltaic or thermal systems.

$79,920 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).

now
18%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 61%
  • 0%
  • 39%
3%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
February 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 61% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 11%. Today's estimate: 18%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 11% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 18% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 15 tasks from .

TaskKind
Supervise solar installers, technicians, and subcontractors for solar installation projects to ensure compliance with safety standards.Done daily by most who do it. 23%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Plan and coordinate installations of photovoltaic (PV) solar and solar thermal systems to ensure conformance to codes.Done daily by most who do it. 15%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Estimate materials, equipment, and personnel needed for residential or commercial solar installation projects.Done daily by most who do it. 12%3.3 h1.3 h to 6.7 h41%Half by Nov 2026
Develop and maintain system architecture, including all piping, instrumentation, or process flow diagrams.Done daily by most who do it.10%6.7 h3.3 h to 1.7 work days10%Half by Apr 2027
Identify means to reduce costs, minimize risks, or increase efficiency of solar installation projects.Done daily by most who do it. 9%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027
Prepare solar installation project proposals, quotes, budgets, or schedules.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 8%4.2 h1.7 h to 1 work day30%Half by Dec 2026
Provide technical assistance to installers, technicians, or other solar professionals in areas such as solar electric systems, solar thermal systems, electrical systems, or mechanical systems.Done several times a day by most who do it. 6%1.3 h17 min to 3.3 h64%Half by now
Perform start-up of systems for testing or customer implementation.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Monitor work of contractors and subcontractors to ensure projects conform to plans, specifications, schedules, or budgets.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%1.7 h38 min to 5 hStays with people
Assess system performance or functionality at the system, subsystem, and component levels.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 3%2.5 h1.3 h to 5 hStays with people
Assess potential solar installation sites to determine feasibility and design requirements.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 3%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Visit customer sites to determine solar system needs, requirements, or specifications.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 1%2.5 h50 min to 5 hStays with people

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.