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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Chefs and Head Cooks

Direct and may participate in the preparation, seasoning, and cooking of salads, soups, fish, meats, vegetables, desserts, or other foods. May plan and price menu items, order supplies, and keep records and accounts.

200,040 people do this job in the US. $62,470 a year.

now
12%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 21%
  • 11%
  • 68%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 21% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 10%. Today's estimate: 12%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 2% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 3% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 6% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 10% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 12% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 21 tasks from .

TaskKind
Plan, direct, or supervise food preparation or cooking activities of multiple kitchens or restaurants in an establishment such as a restaurant chain, hospital, or hotel.Done daily by most who do it. 20%3.3 h1.7 h to 6.7 hStays with people
Supervise or coordinate activities of cooks or workers engaged in food preparation.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 16%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Coordinate planning, budgeting, or purchasing for all the food operations within establishments such as clubs, hotels, or restaurant chains.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Instruct cooks or other workers in the preparation, cooking, garnishing, or presentation of food.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%25 min13 min to 1.3 hStays with people
Monitor sanitation practices to ensure that employees follow standards and regulations.Done hourly or more by most who do it. 7%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Prepare and cook foods of all types, either on a regular basis or for special guests or functions.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Determine how food should be presented and create decorative food displays.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Determine production schedules and staff requirements necessary to ensure timely delivery of services.Done daily by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now
Recruit and hire staff, such as cooks and other kitchen workers.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h1.3 h to 5 hStays with people
Collaborate with other personnel to plan and develop recipes or menus, taking into account such factors as seasonal availability of ingredients or the likely number of customers.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Inspect supplies, equipment, or work areas to ensure conformance to established standards.Done daily by most who do it. 4%25 min13 min to 50 minStays with people
Analyze recipes to assign prices to menu items, based on food, labor, and overhead costs.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 2%1.7 h38 min to 3.3 h80%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.