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Food Service Managers

Plan, direct, or coordinate activities of an organization or department that serves food and beverages.

238,430 people do this job in the US. $69,390 a year.

now
36%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 58%
  • 7%
  • 35%
0%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
Already

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 58% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 28%. Today's estimate: 36%.

0%10%20%30%40%50%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 2% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 5% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 5% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 7% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 8% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 28% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 36% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 28 tasks from .

TaskKind
Establish standards for personnel performance and customer service.Done daily by most who do it. 13%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Organize and direct worker training programs, resolve personnel problems, hire new staff, and evaluate employee performance in dining and lodging facilities.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 7%3.3 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Monitor food preparation methods, portion sizes, and garnishing and presentation of food to ensure that food is prepared and presented in an acceptable manner.Done daily by most who do it. 6%50 min13 min to 1.7 hStays with people
Establish and enforce nutritional standards for dining establishments, based on accepted industry standards.Done daily by most who do it.6%5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days15%Half by Jun 2027
Review work procedures and operational problems to determine ways to improve service, performance, or safety.Done daily by most who do it. 6%2.1 h50 min to 4.2 h72%Half by now
Create specialty dishes and develop recipes to be used in dining facilities.Done daily by most who do it.6%5 h1.7 h to 1 work dayStays with people
Maintain food and equipment inventories, and keep inventory records.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 5%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 hStays with people
Perform some food preparation or service tasks, such as cooking, clearing tables, and serving food and drinks when necessary.Done daily by most who do it. 5%38 min13 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Keep records required by government agencies regarding sanitation or food subsidies.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 h87%Half by now
Plan menus and food utilization, based on anticipated number of guests, nutritional value, palatability, popularity, and costs.Done daily by most who do it.4%3.3 h1.3 h to 6.7 h41%Half by Nov 2026
Monitor compliance with health and fire regulations regarding food preparation and serving, and building maintenance in lodging and dining facilities.Done daily by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 2.5 hStays with people
Schedule staff hours and assign duties.Done more than weekly by most who do it. 4%1.3 h25 min to 3.3 h77%Half by now

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).