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Logisticians

Analyze and coordinate the ongoing logistical functions of a firm or organization. Responsible for the entire life cycle of a product, including acquisition, distribution, internal allocation, delivery, and final disposal of resources.

251,040 people do this job in the US. $82,320 a year.

now
11%

of the working time. Estimate.

Kinds of work
  • 78%
  • 17%
  • 5%
16%

Measured, from Anthropic's usage data (2025). Counts help on part of a task.

Half the desk work within reach
October 2027

On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.

Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 78% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 4.4 h long four times in five.

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 7%. Today's estimate: 11%.

0%5%10%15%20%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 0% within reacho3, April 2025: 0% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 1% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 1% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 1% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 2% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 2% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 7% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 11% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

The tasks

Sorted by . 22 tasks from .

TaskKind
Redesign the movement of goods to maximize value and minimize costs.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.4 work weeks0%Half by May 2028
Perform system lifecycle cost analysis and develop component studies.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 11%2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.4 work weeks0%Half by May 2028
Develop proposals that include documentation for estimates.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%1.3 work days3.3 h to 2.5 work days3%Half by Sep 2027
Direct and support the compilation and analysis of technical source data necessary for product development.Done yearly or less by most who do it. 8%1.3 work days3.3 h to 4.2 work daysStays with people
Plan, organize, and execute logistics support activities, such as maintenance planning, repair analysis, and test equipment recommendations.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 8%1.7 work days3.3 h to 1 work week2%Half by Apr 2028
Stay informed of logistics technology advances and apply appropriate technology to improve logistics processes.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 7%6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days9%Half by Aug 2027
Develop an understanding of customers' needs and take actions to ensure that such needs are met.Done daily by most who do it. AI observed on this task.7%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 h46%Half by Oct 2026
Perform managerial duties such as hiring and training employees and overseeing facility needs or requirements.Done more than yearly by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work daysStays with people
Direct availability and allocation of materials, supplies, and finished products.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%2.5 h50 min to 6.7 hStays with people
Manage subcontractor activities, reviewing proposals, developing performance specifications, and serving as liaisons between subcontractors and organizations.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 5%5 h1.7 h to 1.7 work days17%Half by Apr 2027
Develop and implement technical project management tools, such as plans, schedules, and responsibility and compliance matrices.Done more than monthly by most who do it. AI observed on this task.4%1.3 work days3.3 h to 2.8 work days3%Half by Oct 2027
Explain proposed solutions to customers, management, or other interested parties through written proposals and oral presentations.Done more than monthly by most who do it. 4%3.3 h50 min to 1.3 work days25%Half by Mar 2027

Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.

Jobs that share skills with this one

From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

Where this job works

The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025).

Where the most of these jobs are

The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025).