Supply Chain Managers
In short: today's best AI models could do about 40% of this job's working time (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) if the work were set up for them, and about 95% by the end of 2028 if progress keeps its long-run pace. The people and hands-on work, about 4% of the time, stays with people.
Direct or coordinate production, purchasing, warehousing, distribution, or financial forecasting services or activities to limit costs and improve accuracy, customer service, or safety. Examine existing procedures or opportunities for streamlining activities to meet product distribution needs. Direct the movement, storage, or processing of inventory.
$107,230 a year (for the broader BLS group this job sits in).
A typical 40-hour week
Not yet reviewed task by task- AI could take on16 h
- A person checks AI's work0 h
- Desk work AI can't do yet22 h
- Stays with people2 h
Supply Chain Managers, now: of a 40-hour week, AI could take on 16 hours, 0 hours become checking its work, 22 hours are desk work it can't do yet, and 2 hours stay with people.
The largest pieces: Manage activities related to strategic or tactical purchasing, material requirements planning, controlling inventory, warehousing, or receiving (about 3 h); Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials (about 2 h); Develop procedures for coordination of supply chain management with other functional areas, such as sales, marketing, finance, production, or quality assurance (about 1 h).
Estimates for a typical week of this job, if progress keeps its long-run pace, counting work the best models finish four times in five. Every task is below.
of the working time. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- 96%
- 4%
- 0%
of the work: Anthropic's measure of what people already bring to Claude at work (2025). It counts help with part of a task, so it can be higher than the share within reach.
On the chosen pace and reliability. Estimate.
Share of the working time within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
At this date and pace, models finish tasks up to 2.4 work days long four times in five.
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this job's working time was within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 0%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 4%. Today's estimate: 40%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Measured use over time
Of the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled and tied to a work task, no reportable share went to this job's tasks in May 2026; 0 of its 30 tasks showed up. Within each of Anthropic's methods, never across a change: 0.023% to 0.013% (released February and March 2025); 0.0037% to 0.014% (August 2025 to February 2026).
Each release
| Conversations | Share | Rank | Tasks seen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Released February 2025 | 0.023% | 426 of 708 | 5 of 30 |
| Released March 2025 | 0.013% | 474 of 703 | 6 of 30 |
| The week of Aug 4, 2025 (released September 2025) | 0.0037% | 565 of 655 | 1 of 30 |
| The week of Nov 13, 2025 (released January 2026) | 0.011% | 475 of 672 | 3 of 30 |
| The week of Feb 5, 2026 (released March 2026) | 0.014% | 442 of 677 | 4 of 30 |
| April 2026 (released June 2026) | none | n/a | 0 of 30 |
| May 2026 (released June 2026) | none | n/a | 0 of 30 |
Measured, not estimated: Anthropic's samples of Claude.ai conversations, each tied by a model to an O*NET task, from the Anthropic Economic Index. It says where Claude's use goes, not how much of this job's working time it covers, so it is not on the same scale as the reach above. The releases differ in their sample, their classifier and the smallest share they report (the June 2026 file rounds each task to a hundredth of a percent, so a smaller task reads as none), which is why a change of method starts a new line. At least 96% of each older release's task-tied use matched this site's tasks, and all of the newest. Claude.ai only, so use through other tools and other companies' models is not in it. Every job ranked.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates almost none of this job's working time as physical work, so robots do not reach it.
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. The robot behind each rated task is under the task below.
The tasks
Sorted by . 30 tasks from .
| Task | Kind | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Implement new or improved supply chain processes to improve efficiency or performance.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 14% | 2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks | 18%Half by Jun 2027 | |
| Design or implement supply chains that support business strategies adapted to changing market conditions, new business opportunities, or cost reduction strategies.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 14% | 1 work week1.7 work days to 3.3 work weeks | 4%Half by Dec 2027 | |
| Manage activities related to strategic or tactical purchasing, material requirements planning, controlling inventory, warehousing, or receiving.Done daily by most who do it. | 13% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.5 work days | 55%Half by now | |
| Design, implement, or oversee product take back or reverse logistics programs to ensure products are recycled, reused, or responsibly disposed.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 9% | 2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks | 18%Half by Jun 2027 | |
| Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 7% | 5 h1.7 h to 1.6 work days | 83%Half by now | |
| Design or implement plant warehousing strategies for production materials or finished products.Done yearly or less by most who do it. | 5% | 2.5 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks | 18%Half by Jun 2027 | |
| Develop procedures for coordination of supply chain management with other functional areas, such as sales, marketing, finance, production, or quality assurance.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 4% | 6.7 h2.5 h to 2.5 work days | 69%Half by now | |
| Evaluate and select information or other technology solutions to improve tracking and reporting of materials or products distribution, storage, or inventory.Done yearly or less by most who do it. | 4% | 3.1 work days6.7 h to 1.7 work weeks | 12%Half by Aug 2027 | |
| Participate in the coordination of engineering changes, product line extensions, or new product launches to ensure orderly and timely transitions in material or production flow.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 4% | 5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days | 73%Half by now | |
| Analyze inventories to determine how to increase inventory turns, reduce waste, or optimize customer service.Done more than monthly by most who do it. | 3% | 6.7 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days | 61%Half by now | |
| Select transportation routes to maximize economy by combining shipments or consolidating warehousing and distribution.Done more than weekly by most who do it. | 3% | 4.2 h1.7 h to 1.3 work days | 93%Half by now | |
| Define performance metrics for measurement, comparison, or evaluation of supply chain factors, such as product cost or quality.Done more than yearly by most who do it. | 3% | 5 h1.7 h to 2.1 work days | 73%Half by now |
Within reach, per task: the share of the task's time whose instances are short enough for a model to finish at the chosen date, pace and reliability. Half by: the date half of that time comes within reach.
Jobs that share skills with this one
From O*NET's related occupations. Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
Where this job works
The industry groups that employ the most of it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Where the most of these jobs are
The metro areas with the most people in it (BLS, May 2025). Counts are for the broader BLS group this job sits in.
Questions about this job
- How much of the work of Supply Chain Managers is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 40% of the working time is within reach of AI models now and 95% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (79% to 96% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which tasks of Supply Chain Managers come within reach first?
- Weighted by the time each takes, the tasks with the most within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index) are: Manage activities related to strategic or tactical purchasing, material requirements planning, controlling inventory, warehousing, or receiving (55% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); Determine appropriate equipment and staffing levels to load, unload, move, or store materials (83% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028); and Develop procedures for coordination of supply chain management with other functional areas, such as sales, marketing, finance, production, or quality assurance (69% of the task's time now, 100% by the end of 2028).
- Which tasks of Supply Chain Managers stay with people?
- Tasks that are people work or body work are not counted as within reach at any date. The largest: Confer with supply chain planners to forecast demand or create supply plans that ensure availability of materials or products; Negotiate prices and terms with suppliers, vendors, or freight forwarders; and Meet with suppliers to discuss performance metrics, to provide performance feedback, or to discuss production forecasts or changes. Together such tasks are about 4% of the working time.
- Do people already use AI for the work of Supply Chain Managers?
- In the Claude.ai conversations Anthropic sampled for May 2026, no reportable share went to this job's tasks. Anthropic's labor market measure puts the share of the job's tasks seen in real Claude use at work at 10%. These are measures of use, not of how much of the work AI could finish, and they cover Claude only.
- Can robots do the physical work of Supply Chain Managers?
- Anthropic's robot exposure rating (September 2026) finds almost none of the working time is physical work, so robots do not reach it.
- How is this estimated?
- From the 30 tasks O*NET lists for the occupation, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval and a share of the working time, each classed as desk, people or body work, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. Data checked November 10, 2026.
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