Metro area, Texas
Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
157,450 people work in this area, at mean pay of $47,110 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 69 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 32%
- 22%
- 46%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 17% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 64% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Customer Service Representatives | 4,880 | 64% | 6.5 million | $38K |
| Office Clerks, General | 2,900 | 54% | 3.3 million | $33K |
| Personal Care Aides | 10,995 | 10% | 2.2 million | $24K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 1,050 | 81% | 1.8 million | $37K |
| Registered Nurses | 2,930 | 28% | 1.7 million | $81K |
| Home Health Aides | 10,995 | 7% | 1.7 million | $24K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,020 | 78% | 1.6 million | $42K |
| General and Operations Managers | 3,440 | 23% | 1.6 million | $75K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,760 | 43% | 1.6 million | $39K |
| Retail Salespersons | 3,820 | 19% | 1.5 million | $28K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 1,680 | 40% | 1.4 million | $30K |
| Cashiers | 3,420 | 19% | 1.3 million | $26K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 310 smaller jobs (53,840 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 94% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives1.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives1 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain records of patient care, condition, progress, or problems to report and discuss observations with supervisor or case manager.Home Health Aides916,179 hours70% of the task within reach
- Provide clients with communication assistance, typing their correspondence or obtaining information for them.Personal Care Aides847,342 hours70% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives785,479 hours80% of the task within reach
- Prepare and maintain records of client progress and services performed, reporting changes in client condition to manager or supervisor.Personal Care Aides781,065 hours70% of the task within reach
- Plan, purchase, prepare, or serve meals to patients or other family members, according to prescribed diets.Home Health Aides757,487 hours20% of the task within reach
- Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.Customer Service Representatives736,919 hours100% of the task within reach
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General726,373 hours100% of the task within reach
- Review insurance policy terms to determine whether a particular loss is covered by insurance.Customer Service Representatives594,712 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Texas
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX4,049,800 people23% now, 39% by 2028
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX3,289,720 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX1,293,690 people23% now, 42% by 2028
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX1,126,880 people23% now, 37% by 2028
- El Paso, TX339,120 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX296,700 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- North Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area275,670 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Hill Country Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area200,870 people22% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works