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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Metro area, Texas

Eagle Pass, TX

18,820 people work in this area, at mean pay of $46,810 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
25%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$187M

a year: 5.6 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 37%
  • 19%
  • 44%
5%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 20% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 37% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 22%. Today's estimate: 25%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 7% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 9% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 12% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 14% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 14% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 22% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 25% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 86% of the people.

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 42 smaller jobs (1,560 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 58% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Prepare reports that detail investigation findings.Detectives and Criminal Investigators
    279,551 hours100% of the task within reach
  2. Verify that all firm and regulatory policies and procedures have been documented, implemented, and communicated.Compliance Officers
    216,667 hours94% of the task within reach
  3. Prepare charges or responses to charges, or information for court cases, according to formalized procedures.Detectives and Criminal Investigators
    111,341 hours100% of the task within reach
  4. Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers
    102,925 hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Provide assistance to internal or external auditors in compliance reviews.Compliance Officers
    100,044 hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Evaluate applications, records, or documents to gather information about eligibility or liability issues.Compliance Officers
    97,985 hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Attend training classes to maintain certification licensure, keep abreast of new developments in the field, or maintain existing knowledge.Emergency Medical Technicians
    97,584 hours99% of the task within reach
  8. Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General
    92,675 hours100% of the task within reach
  9. Record progress of investigation, maintain informational files on suspects, and submit reports to commanding officer or magistrate to authorize warrants.Detectives and Criminal Investigators
    78,711 hours100% of the task within reach
  10. Analyze completed police reports to determine what additional information and investigative work is needed.Detectives and Criminal Investigators
    77,779 hours100% of the task within reach

Other areas in Texas

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works