Metro area, Texas
Lubbock, TX
166,780 people work in this area, at mean pay of $53,850 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 77 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 35%
- 19%
- 46%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 23%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 56% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 5,440 | 54% | 6.1 million | $37K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 3,830 | 64% | 5.1 million | $36K |
| Registered Nurses | 5,070 | 28% | 2.9 million | $81K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 1,500 | 78% | 2.4 million | $46K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 1,390 | 81% | 2.3 million | $40K |
| General and Operations Managers | 4,460 | 23% | 2.1 million | $81K |
| Retail Salespersons | 4,580 | 19% | 1.8 million | $28K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 2,020 | 40% | 1.7 million | $33K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,910 | 43% | 1.7 million | $41K |
| Stockers and Order Fillers | 4,180 | 19% | 1.7 million | $36K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 2,210 | 35% | 1.6 million | $58K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 1,130 | 59% | 1.4 million | $32K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 387 smaller jobs (70,000 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 95% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General1.4 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Obtain and examine all relevant information to assess validity of complaints and to determine possible causes, such as extreme weather conditions that could increase utility bills.Customer Service Representatives866,824 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses849,465 hours60% of the task within reach
- Complete contract forms, prepare change of address records, or issue service discontinuance orders, using computers.Customer Service Representatives799,508 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain and update filing, inventory, mailing, and database systems, either manually or using a computer.Office Clerks, General759,112 hours80% of the task within reach
- Type, format, proofread, and edit correspondence and other documents, from notes or dictating machines, using computers or typewriters.Office Clerks, General648,814 hours100% of the task within reach
- Check to ensure that appropriate changes were made to resolve customers' problems.Customer Service Representatives616,472 hours80% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses581,484 hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop sales presentations or proposals to explain service specifications.Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel580,929 hours100% of the task within reach
- Keep records of customer interactions or transactions, recording details of inquiries, complaints, or comments, as well as actions taken.Customer Service Representatives578,361 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Texas
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX4,049,800 people23% now, 39% by 2028
- Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX3,289,720 people22% now, 36% by 2028
- Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX1,293,690 people23% now, 42% by 2028
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX1,126,880 people23% now, 37% by 2028
- El Paso, TX339,120 people24% now, 35% by 2028
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX296,700 people22% now, 31% by 2028
- North Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area275,670 people21% now, 31% by 2028
- Hill Country Region of Texas nonmetropolitan area200,870 people22% now, 32% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works