Metro area, California
Redding, CA
71,550 people work in this area, at mean pay of $65,320 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 29 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 34%
- 19%
- 47%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 55% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,370 | 54% | 1.5 million | $45K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 660 | 78% | 1.1 million | $51K |
| Registered Nurses | 1,720 | 28% | 994,575 | $134K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 590 | 81% | 990,351 | $48K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 630 | 64% | 843,898 | $48K |
| Retail Salespersons | 1,880 | 19% | 758,618 | $36K |
| Cashiers | 1,920 | 19% | 738,816 | $35K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 1,110 | 30% | 688,023 | $84K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,240 | 23% | 588,061 | $99K |
| Personal Care Aides | 2,750 | 10% | 549,120 | $34K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 580 | 43% | 513,928 | $50K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers | 660 | 35% | 474,991 | $72K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 289 smaller jobs (29,050 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 90% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Compute, record, and proofread data and other information, such as records or reports.Office Clerks, General343,149 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses288,181 hours60% of the task within reach
- Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers282,308 hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform bookkeeping duties, such as credits or collections, preparing and sending financial statements or bills, and keeping financial records.Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants236,334 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain records of patient care, condition, progress, or problems to report and discuss observations with supervisor or case manager.Home Health Aides229,149 hours70% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons227,800 hours50% of the task within reach
- Operate computers programmed with accounting software to record, store, and analyze information.Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks214,637 hours100% of the task within reach
- Provide clients with communication assistance, typing their correspondence or obtaining information for them.Personal Care Aides211,932 hours70% of the task within reach
- Compile and maintain non-monetary reports and records.Cashiers201,158 hours100% of the task within reach
- Maintain accurate, detailed reports and records.Registered Nurses197,269 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in California
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA6,271,560 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA2,373,920 people21% now, 41% by 2028
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA1,716,760 people20% now, 30% by 2028
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA1,538,060 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA1,134,970 people21% now, 44% by 2028
- Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA1,080,590 people22% now, 37% by 2028
- Fresno, CA476,890 people20% now, 30% by 2028
- Bakersfield-Delano, CA338,230 people19% now, 29% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works