State

Maryland

2,763,030 people work in Maryland, at mean pay of $77,580 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now

24%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$63B

a year: 1.3 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 24% within reach now and 39% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

Chosen to Ceiling: the share

DateNow

NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 24%.

Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 46% of the people.

	People			Pay here
Customer Service Representatives	37,740	67%	52 million	$43K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive	54,890	39%	45 million	$49K
General and Operations Managers	96,740	19%	37 million	$118K
Office Clerks, General	27,290	58%	33 million	$47K
Retail Salespersons	79,320	20%	33 million	$36K
Receptionists and Information Clerks	18,390	83%	32 million	$38K
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants	17,290	87%	31 million	$48K
Cashiers	49,910	30%	31 million	$34K
Sales Representatives of Services, Except Advertising, Insurance, Financial Services, and Travel	21,580	69%	31 million	$63K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks	18,170	76%	29 million	$54K
Project Management Specialists	30,530	45%	28 million	$104K
First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers	27,860	47%	27 million	$74K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 679 smaller jobs (1,440,810 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
20 million hours89% of the task within reach
Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
19 million hours100% of the task within reach
Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers
17 million hours99% of the task within reach
Perform personnel activities, such as supervising and training employees.Fast Food and Counter Workers
15 million hours100% of the task within reach
Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
15 million hours100% of the task within reach
Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers
14 million hours100% of the task within reach
Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers
12 million hours100% of the task within reach
Communicate with key stakeholders to determine project requirements and objectives.Project Management Specialists
11 million hours100% of the task within reach
Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
11 million hours100% of the task within reach
Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.A job in this area
9.6 million hours100% of the task within reach

Metro and nonmetro areas in Maryland

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works