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STRATUSWORKFORCE SCAN
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Nonmetro area, Maryland

Maryland nonmetropolitan area

113,180 people work in this area, at mean pay of $59,110 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.

now
22%

of the paid hours. Estimate.

$1.9B

a year: 48 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.

Kinds of work
  • 34%
  • 18%
  • 48%
4%

of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 18% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.

Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.

Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030

0%25%50%75%100%2027202820292030NowDesk work: 34% of the time
Chosen to Ceiling: the share
DateNow
NowEnd of 2030

What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .

How far this has come

With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 2%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 20%. Today's estimate: 22%.

0%10%20%30%2023202420252026GPT-4, March 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4 Turbo (Nov 2023), November 2023: 0% within reachGPT-4o, May 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (June 2024), June 2024: 0% within reacho1-preview, September 2024: 0% within reachClaude 3.5 Sonnet (Oct 2024), October 2024: 0% within reacho1, December 2024: 1% within reachClaude 3.7 Sonnet, February 2025: 2% within reacho3, April 2025: 6% within reachGPT-5, August 2025: 8% within reachGemini 3 Pro, November 2025: 10% within reachClaude Opus 4.5, November 2025: 10% within reachGPT-5.2, December 2025: 12% within reachClaude Opus 4.6, February 2026: 12% within reachClaude Mythos Preview (early), April 2026: 20% within reachToday (estimate), September 2026: 22% within reach
Each step is a new best model measured by METR, four in five; the dashed end is today's estimate. Point at a dot for the model.

A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.

Where the hours are

Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 54% of the people.

PeoplePay here
Customer Service Representatives1,54064%2.1 million$38K
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive2,32043%2.1 million$46K
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks1,14078%1.8 million$49K
General and Operations Managers3,70023%1.8 million$87K
Office Clerks, General1,46054%1.6 million$44K
Retail Salespersons3,92019%1.6 million$34K
Registered Nurses2,30028%1.3 million$86K
Cashiers3,20019%1.2 million$33K
Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants67081%1.1 million$45K
Receptionists and Information Clerks90059%1.1 million$37K
First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers1,14040%957,967$43K
Stockers and Order Fillers2,16019%853,632$37K

People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 343 smaller jobs (47,840 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 93% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.

The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028

Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.

  1. Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
    508,113 hours53% of the task within reach
  2. Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons
    474,988 hours50% of the task within reach
  3. Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers
    473,117 hours40% of the task within reach
  4. Keep periodic balance sheets of amounts and numbers of transactions.Cashiers
    470,513 hours100% of the task within reach
  5. Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive
    463,392 hours100% of the task within reach
  6. Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers
    452,310 hours100% of the task within reach
  7. Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders
    444,617 hours50% of the task within reach
  8. Prepare staff work schedules and assign specific duties.General and Operations Managers
    426,172 hours80% of the task within reach
  9. Establish or implement departmental policies, goals, objectives, or procedures in conjunction with board members, organization officials, or staff members.General and Operations Managers
    394,889 hours59% of the task within reach
  10. Perform administrative or managerial functions, such as taking responsibility for a unit's staff, budget, planning, or long-range goals.Registered Nurses
    385,359 hours60% of the task within reach

Other areas in Maryland

Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.

How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works