Metro area, Maryland
Lexington Park, MD
70,650 people work in this area, at mean pay of $82,580 a year (BLS, May 2025), in every industry. What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 27 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 47%
- 18%
- 36%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 16% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this area's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 17%. Today's estimate: 20%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 51% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 1,260 | 43% | 1.1 million | $48K |
| General and Operations Managers | 1,990 | 23% | 943,744 | $106K |
| Retail Salespersons | 2,250 | 19% | 907,920 | $34K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 660 | 64% | 884,083 | $36K |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 1,200 | 30% | 743,809 | $76K |
| Medical Secretaries and Administrative Assistants | 440 | 81% | 738,567 | $45K |
| Office Clerks, General | 630 | 54% | 711,548 | $46K |
| Project Management Specialists | 980 | 33% | 674,714 | $104K |
| Cashiers | 1,560 | 19% | 600,288 | $33K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 460 | 59% | 562,599 | $38K |
| Registered Nurses | 930 | 28% | 537,764 | $95K |
| First-Line Supervisors of Food Preparation and Serving Workers | 580 | 40% | 487,387 | $38K |
People: BLS counts for this area, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this area, else its mean, else the national median. 250 smaller jobs (31,310 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 91% of the area's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole area, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Develop and implement records management program for filing, protection, and retrieval of records, and assure compliance with program.Management Analysts492,720 hours76% of the task within reach
- Analyze data gathered and develop solutions or alternative methods of proceeding.Management Analysts421,259 hours98% of the task within reach
- Gather and organize information on problems or procedures.Management Analysts320,021 hours80% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive275,958 hours53% of the task within reach
- Maintain knowledge of current sales and promotions, policies regarding payment and exchanges, and security practices.Retail Salespersons272,633 hours50% of the task within reach
- Redesign the movement of goods to maximize value and minimize costs.Logisticians259,261 hours85% of the task within reach
- Perform system lifecycle cost analysis and develop component studies.Logisticians259,261 hours85% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers254,460 hours40% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive251,670 hours100% of the task within reach
- Set prices or credit terms for goods or services, based on forecasts of customer demand.General and Operations Managers243,270 hours100% of the task within reach
Other areas in Maryland
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this area; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the area's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works