Subsector, 813
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
1,429,400 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $71,280 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
a year: 1.1 billion hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 50%
- 30%
- 20%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 28% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
What handing the work over would take
For the 1,294,996 people in jobs so far, 91% of the industry's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
about 749 million hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.
about 288 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.
about 317 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.
What their work is made of
- 38%
- 12%
- 14%
- 17%
- 19%
Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.
What changes for the people
For the 1,294,996 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.
Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.
Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.
Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.
What most people here would learn first
How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US
- Reviewing work you did not do yourself720,914 (56%)
- Briefing a model and checking its drafts690,049 (53%)
- The conversations364,742 (28%)
- The hands-on craft281,112 (22%)
- Judgment where errors are severe222,180 (17%)
- Running AI inside the business systems193,270 (15%)
- Dealing with people outside the organization64,820 (5%)
- Signing off under your license11,165 (1%)
- Handling protected records1,450 (under 1%)
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 19%. Today's estimate: 38%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 26% of the working time of the people in this industry as physical work. For 16% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 12% in a purpose-built cell, 4% in a structured facility. 0.20 of 3.
- Not physical 74%
- No robot shown 9%
- In a purpose-built cell 12%
- In a structured facility 4%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 72% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| General and Operations Managers | 95,880 | 45% | 90 million | $109K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 59,870 | 59% | 73 million | $47K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 31,340 | 88% | 57 million | $52K |
| Office Clerks, General | 45,220 | 56% | 53 million | $43K |
| Fundraisers | 35,150 | 48% | 35 million | $75K |
| Labor Relations Specialists | 50,560 | 33% | 34 million | $96K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 24,680 | 64% | 33 million | $43K |
| Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors | 32,630 | 48% | 32 million | $39K |
| Public Relations Specialists | 39,200 | 34% | 28 million | $73K |
| Accountants and Auditors | 26,030 | 45% | 24 million | $83K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 17,910 | 60% | 22 million | $36K |
| Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists | 21,200 | 50% | 22 million | $67K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 355 smaller jobs (391,770 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Study the objectives, promotional policies, or needs of organizations to develop public relations strategies that will influence public opinion or promote ideas, products, or services.Public Relations Specialists21 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Review employer practices or employee data to ensure compliance with contracts on matters such as wages, hours, or conditions of employment.Labor Relations Specialists17 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan routines, choose appropriate music, and choose different movements for each set of muscles, depending on participants' capabilities and limitations.Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors15 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders15 million hours50% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive15 million hours60% of the task within reach
- Develop strategies to encourage new or increased contributions.Fundraisers14 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists13 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop or implement fundraising activities, such as annual giving campaigns or direct mail programs.Fundraisers13 million hours95% of the task within reach
- Plan or direct development or communication of programs to maintain favorable public or stockholder perceptions of an organization's accomplishments, agenda, or environmental responsibility.Public Relations Specialists13 million hours60% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers12 million hours40% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have. Or choose the whole industry: every occupation BLS publishes for it with task data, at its nationwide headcount, the sector report ($249 for the full report, or included in Pro).
Inside this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
- Business, Professional, Labor, Political, and Similar Organizations437,030 people43% now, 58% by 2028
- Civic and Social Organizations358,750 people31% now, 36% by 2028
- Social Advocacy Organizations264,700 people39% now, 52% by 2028
- Religious Organizations204,160 people36% now, 43% by 2028
- Grantmaking and Giving Services164,770 people45% now, 63% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works
Questions about this industry
- How much of the work in Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 38% of the paid hours in Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations are within reach of AI models now and 50% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (48% to 50% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which jobs in Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations carry the most hours within reach?
- By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): General and Operations Managers (95,880 people, 45% of their time, about 90 million hours a year); Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive (59,870 people, 59% of their time, about 73 million hours a year); and Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks (31,340 people, 88% of their time, about 57 million hours a year).
- Which tasks in Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
- Study the objectives, promotional policies, or needs of organizations to develop public relations strategies that will influence public opinion or promote ideas, products, or services (Public Relations Specialists, about 21 million hours a year); Review employer practices or employee data to ensure compliance with contracts on matters such as wages, hours, or conditions of employment (Labor Relations Specialists, about 17 million hours a year); and Plan routines, choose appropriate music, and choose different movements for each set of muscles, depending on participants' capabilities and limitations (Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors, about 15 million hours a year).
- What would people working in Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations learn first?
- Among the 1,294,996 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are reviewing work you did not do yourself (720,914 people); briefing a model and checking its drafts (690,049 people); and the conversations (364,742 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 50% of their working time stays with people, 38% becomes checking a model's work and 11% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
- How is this estimated?
- BLS counts the people in each occupation in Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 96% of its people, and 91% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.
Embed these figures on your site
A small card with the share of working time within reach now and at the end of 2027, 2028 and 2030, the date and a link back. Free under CC BY 4.0; the card carries the credit.