Subsector, 813
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional, and Similar Organizations
1,429,400 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $71,280 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Estimate.
a year: 719 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 53%
- 19%
- 28%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 19% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 22% within reach now and 37% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 21%. Today's estimate: 25%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. The 40 largest jobs hold 72% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 59,870 | 43% | 53 million | $47K |
| Office Clerks, General | 45,220 | 54% | 51 million | $43K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 31,340 | 78% | 51 million | $52K |
| General and Operations Managers | 95,880 | 23% | 45 million | $109K |
| Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors | 32,630 | 57% | 38 million | $39K |
| Customer Service Representatives | 24,680 | 64% | 33 million | $43K |
| Social and Human Service Assistants | 32,020 | 44% | 29 million | $47K |
| Self-Enrichment Teachers | 20,950 | 54% | 23 million | $44K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 17,910 | 59% | 22 million | $36K |
| Fundraisers | 35,150 | 23% | 17 million | $75K |
| Executive Secretaries and Executive Administrative Assistants | 14,610 | 47% | 14 million | $76K |
| Clergy | 25,070 | 25% | 13 million | $59K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 355 smaller jobs (391,770 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 96% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Investigate and evaluate union complaints or arguments to determine viability.Labor Relations Specialists19 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Study the objectives, promotional policies, or needs of organizations to develop public relations strategies that will influence public opinion or promote ideas, products, or services.Public Relations Specialists19 million hours90% of the task within reach
- Review employer practices or employee data to ensure compliance with contracts on matters such as wages, hours, or conditions of employment.Labor Relations Specialists16 million hours92% of the task within reach
- Plan routines, choose appropriate music, and choose different movements for each set of muscles, depending on participants' capabilities and limitations.Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors15 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Plan, organize, and control the operations of a cocktail lounge or bar.Bartenders15 million hours50% of the task within reach
- Evaluate individuals' abilities, needs, and physical conditions, and develop suitable training programs to meet any special requirements.Exercise Trainers and Group Fitness Instructors14 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Develop strategies to encourage new or increased contributions.Fundraisers14 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive13 million hours53% of the task within reach
- Direct and coordinate activities of businesses or departments concerned with the production, pricing, sales, or distribution of products.General and Operations Managers12 million hours40% of the task within reach
- Collect and analyze data on customer demographics, preferences, needs, and buying habits to identify potential markets and factors affecting product demand.Market Research Analysts and Marketing Specialists12 million hours90% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have.
Inside this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five.
- Business, Professional, Labor, Political, and Similar Organizations437,030 people25% now, 58% by 2028
- Civic and Social Organizations358,750 people25% now, 38% by 2028
- Social Advocacy Organizations264,700 people26% now, 56% by 2028
- Religious Organizations204,160 people24% now, 44% by 2028
- Grantmaking and Giving Services164,770 people26% now, 65% by 2028
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works