Industry group, 8131
Religious Organizations
204,160 people work in this industry in the US, at mean pay of $60,540 a year (BLS, May 2025). What follows is how much of their working time the best AI models could finish, when, and in which jobs and tasks. Estimates.
of the paid hours. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
a year: 138 million hours at what they cost. Not a forecast of savings.
- 43%
- 32%
- 25%
of the paid hours are within reach now in tasks people already bring to Claude. Another 26% is within reach in tasks not yet seen there.
Across the US: 30% within reach now and 36% by the end of 2028, on the long-run pace at four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
Share of the paid hours within reach, now to 2030
Change assumptionsHide assumptionsLong-run pace, four in five
What each choice means: , , , , . Every pace starts from .
What handing the work over would take
For the 152,696 people in jobs so far, 75% of the industry's people; the others are in the totals above and join this split as the review reaches their jobs. Shares of their working time within reach now, at the pace and reliability chosen above. Estimates. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
about 80 million hours a year. The material can be handed to a model and the result handed back.
about 38 million hours a year. The model has to be connected to the system the work lives in.
about 27 million hours a year. Short enough by length. This site leaves conversation with people, so it is not in the totals.
What their work is made of
- 30%
- 13%
- 10%
- 23%
- 25%
Each task's time split among five kinds of doing, judged one task at a time; only documents and systems can count as within reach.
What changes for the people
For the 152,696 people in jobs reviewed task by task so far, by the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five: the shares of their working time, from each job page's own map, weighted by how many people here do that job. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job. Estimates.
Conversation, in-person and hands-on work.
Desk work within reach in tasks where a mistake costs something or a licensed person signs.
Desk work within reach that is small if wrong, with lighter checks.
What most people here would learn first
How many of them have each skill among the first two things to learn on their job's page. Every state, and the US
- Briefing a model and checking its drafts72,842 (48%)
- The conversations61,608 (40%)
- Reviewing work you did not do yourself44,462 (29%)
- The hands-on craft35,893 (24%)
- Running AI inside the business systems32,560 (21%)
- Judgment where errors are severe23,375 (15%)
- Dealing with people outside the organization17,510 (11%)
- Signing off under your license4,680 (3%)
How far this has come
With GPT-4, measured in March 2023, 0% of this industry's paid hours were within reach at . With Claude 3.7 Sonnet, measured in February 2025, 1%. With Claude Mythos Preview (early), measured in April 2026, 18%. Today's estimate: 36%.
A backcast: today's task data with the best model METR had measured by each date. It shows how fast the models have moved, not what anyone forecast at the time.
Robots and the physical work
Anthropic rates 31% of the working time of the people in this industry as physical work. For 17% of the working time, a robot has been shown doing most of the task somewhere: 13% in a purpose-built cell, 4% in a structured facility. 0.21 of 3.
- Not physical 69%
- No robot shown 14%
- In a purpose-built cell 13%
- In a structured facility 4%
Anthropic's rating, not this site's estimate: Claude Opus 5, searching the web, rated each physical O*NET task by the kind of setting in which a robot it could cite (deployed, sold or demonstrated) does most of the task, weighted by its own estimate of each task's share of the time (What work can robots do?, September 30, 2026, data CC BY 4.0; every job ranked). A robot shown somewhere is not a robot in your building: cost, setup and safety decide that. The share within reach on this page still counts no body work. Weighted by the people in each occupation; each job's page names the robot behind each rated task.
Where the hours are
Jobs by hours within reach now. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index. The 40 largest jobs hold 88% of the people.
| People | Pay here | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clergy | 24,750 | 41% | 21 million | $59K |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 14,570 | 59% | 18 million | $44K |
| Directors, Religious Activities and Education | 17,220 | 35% | 12 million | $51K |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 5,610 | 88% | 10 million | $48K |
| Office Clerks, General | 7,080 | 56% | 8.3 million | $39K |
| General and Operations Managers | 5,210 | 45% | 4.9 million | $88K |
| Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education | 9,020 | 24% | 4.5 million | $46K |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 2,860 | 60% | 3.5 million | $35K |
| Music Directors and Composers | 3,760 | 44% | 3.4 million | $65K |
| Accountants and Auditors | 2,770 | 45% | 2.6 million | $80K |
| Musicians and Singers | 7,640 | 16% | 2.5 million | $99K |
| Fundraisers | 2,440 | 48% | 2.4 million | $74K |
People: BLS counts for this industry, May 2025. Pay here: the median paid for the job in this industry, else its mean, else the national median. 126 smaller jobs (22,360 people) count in every total but are not listed. Task data covers 90% of the industry's people; the rest are in BLS "all other" groups with no task list, or in counts BLS does not publish.
The tasks with the most hours within reach by the end of 2028
Across the whole industry, on the chosen pace and reliability.
- Study and interpret religious laws, doctrines, or traditions.Clergy5.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive3.6 million hours60% of the task within reach
- Devise ways in which congregational membership can be expanded.Clergy3.5 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Prepare and deliver sermons or other talks.Clergy2.9 million hours60% of the task within reach
- Use computers for various applications, such as database management or word processing.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive2.9 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Perform administrative duties, such as overseeing building management, ordering supplies, contracting for services or repairs, or supervising the work of staff members or volunteers.Clergy2.7 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Plan or lead religious education programs.Clergy2.5 million hours40% of the task within reach
- Set up and manage paper or electronic filing systems, recording information, updating paperwork, or maintaining documents, such as attendance records, correspondence, or other material.Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive2.4 million hours70% of the task within reach
- Implement program plans by ordering needed materials, scheduling speakers, reserving space, or handling other administrative details.Directors, Religious Activities and Education2.2 million hours100% of the task within reach
- Analyze member participation or changes in congregational emphasis to determine needs for religious education.Directors, Religious Activities and Education2.1 million hours100% of the task within reach
Scan a typical company in this industry
The industry's largest jobs, in the proportions BLS counts across the whole industry, at the pay it pays, run through the company scan. A starting point before you have a roster, or a benchmark for the one you have. Or choose the whole industry: every occupation BLS publishes for it with task data, at its nationwide headcount, the sector report ($249 for the full report, or included in Pro).
Next to this industry
Within reach now and by the end of 2028, long-run pace, four in five. Now is projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index.
How it is built: BLS counts the people in each job in this industry; each job's tasks and their lengths give its share within reach at a date; the industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Value is pay times 1.43 for benefits and payroll costs. Seen in Claude use splits today's share by whether Anthropic saw people bring each task to Claude in 2025; other AI tools are not counted. How it works
Questions about this industry
- How much of the work in Religious Organizations is within reach of AI now?
- An estimated 36% of the paid hours in Religious Organizations are within reach of AI models now and 43% by the end of 2028, on METR's long-run pace at four in five (42% to 43% across the three paces the site shows). Within reach means a model could finish work that long at that reliability. It is not a forecast of jobs lost or of savings.
- Which jobs in Religious Organizations carry the most hours within reach?
- By hours within reach now (projected from METR's April 2026 measurement and Epoch's November 2026 index): Clergy (24,750 people, 41% of their time, about 21 million hours a year); Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive (14,570 people, 59% of their time, about 18 million hours a year); and Directors, Religious Activities and Education (17,220 people, 35% of their time, about 12 million hours a year).
- Which tasks in Religious Organizations carry the most hours within reach by the end of 2028?
- Study and interpret religious laws, doctrines, or traditions (Clergy, about 5.2 million hours a year); Coordinate conferences, meetings, or special events, such as luncheons or graduation ceremonies (Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive, about 3.6 million hours a year); and Devise ways in which congregational membership can be expanded (Clergy, about 3.5 million hours a year).
- What would people working in Religious Organizations learn first?
- Among the 152,696 people in jobs reviewed task by task, the skills most often among the first two things to learn on their job's page are briefing a model and checking its drafts (72,842 people); the conversations (61,608 people); and reviewing work you did not do yourself (44,462 people). By the end of 2028 on the long-run pace at four in five, about 57% of their working time stays with people, 24% becomes checking a model's work and 19% can be handed over with lighter checks. It says which parts of the work change, never whether anyone keeps a job.
- How is this estimated?
- BLS counts the people in each occupation in Religious Organizations (May 2025); each occupation's share of working time within reach comes from its O*NET tasks, each with an estimated length checked against GDPval, and METR's measurements of how long a task the best AI models can finish, carried forward to the date from the latest, Claude Mythos Preview (early) in April 2026. The industry's share is those shares weighted by people. Task data covers 90% of its people, and 75% are in occupations reviewed task by task. Data checked November 10, 2026.
Embed these figures on your site
A small card with the share of working time within reach now and at the end of 2027, 2028 and 2030, the date and a link back. Free under CC BY 4.0; the card carries the credit.